Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Manchester City FC, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2018-19
Sun 30 Dec 2018 · 14:15 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Probert
  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Referee Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Referee Scott Ledger

Head-to-Head

1
3
10
Southampton FC 14 games · Avg 3.1 goals Manchester City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 3–1 W
16 Dec Arsenal FC H 3–2 W
08 Dec Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
05 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Southampton FC A 3–1 W
26 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
22 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 2–3 L
15 Dec Everton FC H 3–1 W
12 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
08 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC27% Draw25% Manchester City FC48%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Manchester City FC
73%
Southampton FC or Manchester City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC20% Draw40% Manchester City FC40%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 21% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.