Derby County FC vs Forest Green Rovers FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Forest Green Rovers FC — League One at Pride Park.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Forest Green Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Forest Green Rovers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Nov | Torquay United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Dec | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Nov | Alvechurch FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Forest Green Rovers FC.
- 5' GOAL! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing fires home to make it 1-0!
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. David McGoldrick makes it 2-0.
- 26' Forest Green Rovers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Stevenson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' The referee calls foul for James Collins. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' The whistle greets Ben Stevenson as he departs to be replaced by David Davis.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Forest Green Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 54' A moment of madness from Tom Barkhuizen on 54 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 57' Fresh legs for Forest Green Rovers FC! Jamille Matt comes on to replace Bryan Solhaug Fiabema.
- 62' Louie Sibley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 63' Louie Sibley is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 66' A tactical swap from Forest Green Rovers FC — Udoka Malife on, Baily Cargill off on 66 minutes.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Armani Little. He replaces Harry Boyes on 67 minute.
- 68' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Dobbin is hanging Tom Barkhuizen on the field on 68 minute.
- 69' A stunning finish from David McGoldrick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 79' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by William Osula.
- 84' The 24-year-old Harry Boyes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 85' The whistle greets Louie Sibley as he departs to be replaced by Liam Thompson.
- 86' A tactical swap from Forest Green Rovers FC — Harvey Bunker on, Josh March off on 86 minutes.
- 87' Against the run of play, David McGoldrick has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- The final score is 4-0.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 8
- 11
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↓ Lewis Dobbin 68'
- 1
- 10
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Curtis Davies 85'
-
9
James Collins ↓ Jason Knight 68'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Liam Thompson 85'
- 6
Bench
-
33
Curtis Davies ↑ 85'
- 21
-
38
Jason Knight ↑ 68'
- 15
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 85'
-
23
William Osula ↑ 79'
-
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 68'
Coach
Paul Warne
Forest Green Rovers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
6
Baily Cargill ↓ Udoka Malife 66'
- 17
- 3
- 2
-
7
Ben Stevenson ↓ David Davis 46'
- 5
-
28
Josh March ↓ Harvey Bunker 86'
- 8
- 18
-
11
Harry Boyes ↓ Armani Little 67'
Bench
-
14
Jamille Matt ↑ 57'
-
26
David Davis ↑ 46'
- 9
- 24
-
10
Armani Little ↑ 67'
-
22
Udoka Malife ↑ 66'
-
27
Harvey Bunker ↑ 86'
Coach
Ian Burchnall
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| David McGoldrick | 4 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
Derby County FC Form
2022-12-17
Derby County FC
4–0
Forest Green Rovers FC
W
2022-12-10
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-03
Derby County FC
0–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
D
2022-11-18
Portsmouth FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-11-15
Derby County FC
5–0
Torquay United FC
W
2022-11-12
Milton Keynes Dons FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
Forest Green Rovers FC Form
2022-12-17
Derby County FC
4–0
Forest Green Rovers FC
L
2022-12-10
Forest Green Rovers FC
1–0
Cheltenham Town FC
W
2022-12-03
Forest Green Rovers FC
2–1
Cambridge United FC
W
2022-11-26
Forest Green Rovers FC
2–1
Alvechurch FC
W
2022-11-19
Oxford United FC
1–1
Forest Green Rovers FC
D
2022-11-12
Forest Green Rovers FC
0–2
Wycombe Wanderers FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
Forest Green Rovers FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Forest Green Rovers FC
30%
Derby County FC or Forest Green Rovers FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
12%
3 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.7%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
4%
5 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Forest Green Rovers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 22% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 23% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
Forest Green Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.