Saturday , 26 September 2026

Cuiaba EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 22:00 UTC Pantanal 11,883 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruno Alves 4' 1–0
Clayson 42' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Cuiaba EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Pantanal.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct São Paulo FC H 2–0 W
29 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
22 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 0–0 D
16 Sep SC Internacional A 0–3 L
05 Sep EC Juventude H 0–0 D
31 Aug Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Cuiaba EC A 0–2 L
29 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 3–1 W
26 Sep Botafogo FR H 5–6 L
22 Sep SC Internacional H 1–3 L
19 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sao Paulo FC gets underway.
  • 4' Goal! Bruno Alves scores his 5 goal in 376 matches.
  • 9' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 14' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Fernandes is booked for Cuiaba EC — card on 19.
  • 21' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Andre Silva will be fuming at that decision.
  • 26' Igor Vinicius needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 31' A quiet spell here at Pantanal. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 38' Robert Arboleda picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 42' Clayson doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' Andre Silva has been relatively quiet despite scoring 41 goals in his last 327 appearances.
  • 57' Cuiaba EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 62' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 63' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Jamal Lewis by Liziero on 63 minute.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Cuiaba EC! Jonathan Cafu comes on to replace Gustavo Sauerbeck.
  • 69' Robert Arboleda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cuiaba EC so far.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Cuiaba EC team. Clayson is replaced by Andre Luis on 73 minute.
  • 78' Matheus Alexandre catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
  • 83' Fernando Sobral has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 32 cards already picked up this season.
  • 88' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wellington Rato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 90' Lucas Mineiro gets the nod from Cuiaba EC. He replaces Isidro Pitta and will look to change the dynamic.
  • It finishes all square. Cuiaba EC and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Cuiaba EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cuiaba EC51% Draw30% São Paulo FC19%
Actual: Cuiaba EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Cuiaba EC or Draw
81%
Draw or São Paulo FC
49%
Cuiaba EC or São Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cuiaba EC31% Draw55% São Paulo FC14%
Actual: Cuiaba EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Cuiaba EC

Handicap Cuiaba EC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Cuiaba EC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.