Croatia vs Turkey, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Turkey Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.47
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Turkey xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Croatia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
74%
Draw or Turkey
52%
Croatia or Turkey
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Croatia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Turkey covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Turkey keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.