Turkey vs Croatia, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Turkey vs Croatia — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee William Collum
- Referee Jonas Eriksson
- Referee Mathias Klasenius
- Referee Daniel Warnmark
- Referee Stefan Johannesson
- Referee Markus Strombergsson
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun | Croatia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 May | Romania | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | Juventus FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Apr | Croatia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun | Turkey | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | Turkey | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Turkey this season
Turkey this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Turkey
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Turkey
| Merih Demiral | 2 G | |
| Arda Guler | 1 G | 2 A |
| Mert Muldur | 1 G | |
| Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu | 1 G |
Croatia
| Andrej Kramaric | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Turkey kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Turkey are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Croatia's shape.
- 10' Turkey are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Hakan Calhanoglu, a Turkey , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Croatia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Turkey and Croatia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 30' It’s high time Ante Cacic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 31' The referee has no hesitation. Cenk Tosun is booked for Turkey — Yellow card on 31.
- 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. Turkey and Croatia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 41' GOAL! Luka Modric fires home to make it 0-1!
- 46' The crowd applauds Oguzhan Ozyakup as he leaves the pitch. Volkan Sen steps in for Turkey.
- 48' Hakan Balta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 48.
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Turkey is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Volkan Babacan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 19 appearances.
- 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 65' Burak Yilmaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arda Turan at the 65 minute mark.
- 69' It is a substitution in Turkey team. Cenk Tosun is replaced by Emre Mor on 69 minute.
- 74' Ivan Strinic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Croatia tonight.
- 79' Over 79 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 80' That is a Yellow card for Croatia. Ivan Strinic will be fuming at that decision.
- 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Croatia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' Another change for Croatia made on 87 minute. Ivan Perisic leaves to be changed by Andrej Kramaric.
- 90' Poor challenge from Volkan Sen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' Another change for Croatia made on 90 minute. Ivan Rakitic leaves to be changed by Gordon Schildenfeld.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Turkey.
Lineups
Turkey Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 16
-
9
Cenk Tosun ↓ Emre Mor 69'
- 6
- 77
- 18
-
14
Oguzhan Ozyakup ↓ Volkan Sen 46'
- 3
- 8
- 1
-
10
Arda Turan C ↓ Burak Yilmaz 65'
Bench
- 5
- 23
- 22
- 22
- 19
-
21
Emre Mor ↑ 69'
- 12
- 11
-
17
Burak Yilmaz ↑ 65'
- 4
-
20
Volkan Sen ↑ 46'
- 2
Coach
Fatih Terim
Croatia Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 7
- 10
-
17
Mario Mandzukic ↓ Marko Pjaca 90'
- 11
- 3
- 14
-
4
Ivan Perisic ↓ Andrej Kramaric 87'
- 19
- 21
- 5
Bench
- 8
- 6
-
9
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 87'
- 16
- 15
- 18
- 2
-
20
Marko Pjaca ↑ 90'
- 12
-
13
Gordon Schildenfeld ↑ 90'
- 1
Coach
Ante Cacic
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
Turkey xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Croatia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Croatia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Turkey or Draw
78%
Draw or Croatia
53%
Turkey or Croatia
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Croatia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.7%
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Turkey
| Handicap | Turkey covers | Push | Croatia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Turkey keeps clean sheet
48%
✓
Croatia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.