Croatia vs Portugal, European Championship 2016 ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Croatia vs Portugal — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Carlos del Cerro
- Referee Juan Carlos Yuste
- Referee Roberto Alonso
- Referee Jesus Gil
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Carlos Velasco
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
Portugal this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Croatia
| Andrej Kramaric | 1 G |
Portugal
| Francisco Conceicao | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Croatia and Portugal is underway.
- 5' Portugal has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Croatia that had 169 games and scored 46 goals.
- 20' Portugal international Cristiano Ronaldo has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Renato Sanches is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Croatia so far.
- 35' Pepe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Croatia tonight.
- 40' It looks surprising Croatia does not make any changes. Joao Mario has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' The 37-year-old Ivan Perisic has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 50' The crowd applauds Andre Gomes as he leaves the pitch. Renato Sanches steps in for Portugal.
- 55' Croatia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Portugal backline.
- 60' The travelling Portugal supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Portugal winning 100% of all matches.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 78' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for William Carvalho.
- 83' Portugal is showing some good football. However, Portugal are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 87' Ricardo Quaresma is replacing Joao Mario for the Portugal side.
- 88' The whistle greets Mario Mandzukic as he departs to be replaced by Nikola Kalinic.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Croatia.
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
7
Ivan Rakitic ↓ Marko Pjaca 110'
- 10
- 17
- 11
- 3
- 14
- 4
- 19
- 21
-
5
Vedran Corluka ↓ Andrej Kramaric 120'
Bench
- 8
- 6
-
9
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 120'
-
16
Nikola Kalinic ↑ 88'
- 15
- 18
- 2
-
20
Marko Pjaca ↑ 110'
- 22
- 12
- 13
- 1
Coach
Ante Cacic
Portugal Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Adrien Silva ↓ Danilo Pereira 108'
-
15
Andre Gomes ↓ Renato Sanches 50'
- 21
- 1
- 4
- 5
- 14
- 7
-
10
Joao Mario ↓ Ricardo Quaresma 87'
- 17
- 3
Bench
- 8
- 22
- 12
-
16
Renato Sanches ↑ 50'
-
13
Danilo Pereira ↑ 108'
- 2
-
20
Ricardo Quaresma ↑ 87'
- 18
- 11
- 9
- 6
- 19
Coach
Fernando Santos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 1 |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 |
| Ricardo Quaresma | 1 |
| Ricardo Quaresma | 1 |
Head to Head
Croatia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.09
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Portugal xG
I would bet for:
Croatia or Portugal 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portugal win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
65%
Draw or Portugal
66%
Croatia or Portugal
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
2.9%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Portugal covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Portugal keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.