Croatia vs FC Porto, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Croatia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
Croatia or FC Porto 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Croatia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Porto
55%
Croatia or FC Porto
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
