Thursday , 2 July 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 6 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Home Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 66' Wilfried Gnonto
Brendan Galloway 78' 1–1
1–3 111' Georginio Rutter
1–4 117' Ryan Hardie og

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Leeds United FCFA Cup at Home Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–4 L
03 Feb Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Cardiff City FC H 3–1 W
13 Jan Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
06 Jan Sutton United FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 4–1 W
02 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
21 Jan Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
13 Jan Cardiff City FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Plymouth Argyle FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC28% Draw27% Leeds United FC45%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Leeds United FC
72%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Leeds United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC21% Draw43% Leeds United FC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.