Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 6 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Home Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 66' Wilfried Gnonto
Brendan Galloway 78' 1–1
1–3 111' Georginio Rutter
1–4 117' Ryan Hardie og

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Leeds United FC — FA Cup at Home Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–4 L
03 Feb Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Cardiff City FC H 3–1 W
13 Jan Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
06 Jan Sutton United FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 4–1 W
02 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
21 Jan Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
13 Jan Cardiff City FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Plymouth Argyle FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC28% Draw27% Leeds United FC45%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Leeds United FC
72%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Leeds United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC21% Draw43% Leeds United FC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.