Sunday , 16 August 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Cambridge United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 6,877 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Sullay Kaikai
0–2 69' Sam Lavelle og
0–3 72' Elias Kachunga
0–4 83' Ryan Bennett

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Cambridge United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Cambridge United FC H 0–4 L
10 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
27 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–4 L
16 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
13 Jan Oxford United FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Carlisle United FC A 4–0 W
13 Feb Portsmouth FC A 1–3 L
10 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–1 W
27 Jan Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Exeter City FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cambridge United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cambridge United FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/2
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Brunton Park as Carlisle United FC face off against Cambridge United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Cambridge United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 14' Sullay Kaikai does the damage! The net is bulging and Cambridge United FC surge ahead!
  • 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Ellis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' Carlisle United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' Cambridge United FC have won 193 goals from 191 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' James Brophy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Carlisle United FC player. Jon Mellish gets a card.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Vela made 318 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' Cambridge United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Carlisle United FCDaniel Butterworth on, Jack Diamond off on 64 minutes.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Daniel Butterworth on 68 minutes earns him a card. Carlisle United FC will be frustrated.
  • 68' James Brophy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jack Lankester at the 68 minute mark.
  • 69' The Scotland Sam Lavelle breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 1-1!
  • 72' Elias Kachunga adds to his 0 season tally! Cambridge United FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' Another substitution for Cambridge United FC to replace Elias Kachunga by Adam May on 74 minute.
  • 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
  • 83' The England Ryan Bennett breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 1-3!
  • 85' The Cambridge United FC bench stirs into life. James Gibbons is withdrawn and Liam Bennett gets his opportunity.
  • 90' England international Jordan Gibson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • The final score is 0-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 Cambridge United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC20% Draw25% Cambridge United FC55%
Actual: Cambridge United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Cambridge United FC
80%
Carlisle United FC or Cambridge United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC14% Draw45% Cambridge United FC41%
Actual: Cambridge United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 3
6.5%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Cambridge United FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 24% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.