Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ross Joyce
- Assistant 1 Matthew Sowerby (England)
- Assistant 2 Karl Buckley (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | Leyton Orient FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Carlisle United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Brunton Park as Carlisle United FC face off against Burton Albion FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Carlisle United FC and Burton Albion FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' Carlisle United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
- 25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Hamer on 25 minutes.
- 28' Brilliant from the ! Mark Helm makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 28.
- 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 36' It’s a booking for Burton Albion FC player. Mark Helm gets a card.
- 41' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 46' Burton Albion FC make a change. Kwadwo Baah trudges off to be replaced by Rekeem Harper on 46 minutes.
- 51' The 27-year-old Joe Powell has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 53' What a moment for Jordan Gibson! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
- 58' Josh Gordon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 65 appearances.
- 62' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Mustapha Carayol exits the field as Josh Gordon enters on 62.
- 67' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 73' Terry Ablade has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Butterworth on 73 minute.
- 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joe Garner on 77 minutes.
- 81' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Steve Seddon by Jake Caprice on 81 minute.
- 86' It’s high time Dino Maamria made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 88' Goal! Joe Garner scores his 23 goal in 380 matches.
- 88' A change in the Carlisle United FC ranks — Fin Back exits the field as Ben Barclay enters on 88.
- 90' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Adedeji Oshilaja exits the field as Cole Stockton enters on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Carlisle United FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 24
- 1
- 8
- 11
- 14
- 5
- 3
-
2
Fin Back ↓ Ben Barclay 88'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
26
Ben Barclay ↑ 88'
- 9
- 17
- 25
- 19
- 27
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 73'
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
- 37
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Jake Caprice 81'
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↓ Josh Gordon 62'
- 1
-
24
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Rekeem Harper 46'
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Josh Walker 46'
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 46'
- 30
-
10
Josh Gordon ↑ 62'
-
14
Josh Walker ↑ 46'
-
9
Cole Stockton ↑ 90'
-
22
Jake Caprice ↑ 81'
- 25
Coach
Dino Maamria
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mark Helm | 1 |
| Joe Garner | 1 |
| Jordan Gibson | 1 |
| Paul Huntington | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-21
Portsmouth FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-14
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Leyton Orient FC
L
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
W
2023-10-03
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-30
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-10-21
Burton Albion FC
4–1
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2023-10-14
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-09
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-10-03
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Wigan Athletic FC
W
2023-09-30
Reading FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Carlisle United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
55%
Carlisle United FC or Burton Albion FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burton Albion FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

