Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ross Joyce
- Assistant 1 Matthew Sowerby (England)
- Assistant 2 Karl Buckley (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | Leyton Orient FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Carlisle United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 2 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 2 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Carlisle United FC gets underway.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Brunton Park. Carlisle United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Hamer made 14 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Burton Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' That is a card for Burton Albion FC. Tom Hamer will be fuming at that decision.
- 28' The England Mark Helm breaks the deadlock on 28 minutes. 0-1!
- 33' Carlisle United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Mark Helm.
- 41' The 33-year-old Max Crocombe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Kwadwo Baah by Rekeem Harper on 46 minute.
- 51' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 53' GOAL! Jordan Gibson fires home to make it 1-1!
- 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 379 games and scored 428 goals.
- 62' The whistle greets Mustapha Carayol as he departs to be replaced by Josh Gordon.
- 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Garner suffering a number of foals already.
- 72' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 73' Daniel Butterworth makes way for Terry Ablade at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Carlisle United FC.
- 77' Poor challenge from Joe Garner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 81' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Jake Caprice comes on to replace Steve Seddon.
- 86' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 88' What a strike from Joe Garner! The score is 2-1.
- 88' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 88 minute. Fin Back leaves to be changed by Ben Barclay.
- 90' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 90 minute. Adedeji Oshilaja leaves to be changed by Cole Stockton.
- Carlisle United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 24
- 1
- 8
- 11
- 14
- 5
- 3
-
2
Fin Back ↓ Ben Barclay 88'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
26
Ben Barclay ↑ 88'
- 9
- 17
- 25
- 19
- 27
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 73'
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
- 37
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Jake Caprice 81'
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↓ Josh Gordon 62'
- 1
-
24
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Rekeem Harper 46'
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Josh Walker 46'
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 46'
- 30
-
10
Josh Gordon ↑ 62'
-
14
Josh Walker ↑ 46'
-
9
Cole Stockton ↑ 90'
-
22
Jake Caprice ↑ 81'
- 25
Coach
Dino Maamria
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mark Helm | 1 |
| Joe Garner | 1 |
| Jordan Gibson | 1 |
| Paul Huntington | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-21
Portsmouth FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-14
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Leyton Orient FC
L
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
W
2023-10-03
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-30
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-10-21
Burton Albion FC
4–1
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2023-10-14
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-09
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-10-03
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Wigan Athletic FC
W
2023-09-30
Reading FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Carlisle United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
55%
Carlisle United FC or Burton Albion FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burton Albion FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.