Sunday , 16 August 2026

CD Nacional vs SC Farense, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
2 0
Full Time
Sun 1 Sep 2024 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 2,038 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Penha 43' 1–0
Isaac Aguiar 90+2' 2–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep SC Farense H 2–0 W
25 Aug FC Arouca A 0–1 L
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–6 L
10 Aug AVS A 1–1 D
19 May Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep CD Nacional A 0–2 L
23 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–5 L
17 Aug Rio Ave FC A 0–1 L
11 Aug Moreirense FC H 1–2 L
18 May Portimonense SC H 1–3 L
12 May Gil Vicente FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! CD Nacional welcome SC Farense for this crunch clash at Estadio da Madeira.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Filipe Soares, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Gustavo Garcia, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Tiago Reis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CD Nacional so far.
  • 40' SC Farense are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' A stunning finish from Daniel Penha — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 48' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CD Nacional and SC Farense are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 51' Artur Jorge catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
  • 52' Time for substitution for SC Farense. Neto is replaced by Miguel Menino.
  • 57' SC Farense come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Elves as he leaves the pitch. Dario Poveda steps in for SC Farense.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Tiago Reis as he leaves the pitch. Adrian Butzke steps in for CD Nacional.
  • 63' The referee shows SC Farense player a card on 63.
  • 67' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Esteves argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' CD Nacional make a change. Ruben Macedo trudges off to be replaced by Isaac Aguiar on 74 minutes.
  • 76' SC Farense ring the changes. Lucas Africo has done his job and it is now time for Filipe Soares to step up.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Pastor suffering a number of foals already.
  • 82' It is a substitution in CD Nacional team. Daniel Penha is replaced by Bruno Costa on 82 minute.
  • 87' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past SC Farense's compact 4-4-1-1.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a card for Adrian Butzke.
  • 90' Isaac Aguiar is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 SC Farense xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional48% Draw27% SC Farense25%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Farense
52%
CD Nacional or SC Farense
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional31% Draw48% SC Farense21%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push SC Farense covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
33%
SC Farense keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.