CD Nacional vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

3 – 2

Full Time

Moreirense FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga .

CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Moreirense FC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	33
2	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	11	28
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	11	24
4	CD Santa Clara	11	21
5	FC Arouca	11	20
6	Academico de Viseu FC	11	20
7	Gil Vicente FC	11	18
8	Sporting Clube de Braga	11	17
9	Moreirense FC	11	14
10	FC Famalicao	11	13
11	FC Alverca	11	12
12	CF Estrela da Amadora	11	10
13	CD Nacional	11	10
14	Vitoria SC	11	9
15	CS Maritimo	10	8
16	Casa Pia AC	11	8
17	Rio Ave FC	11	7
18	GD Estoril Praia	10	2

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 10 games · Avg 2.6 goals Moreirense FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 CD Nacional 3–2 Moreirense FC 2025-04-27 Moreirense FC 1–1 CD Nacional 2024-12-14 CD Nacional 1–0 Moreirense FC 2021-05-06 Moreirense FC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-01-17 CD Nacional 0–1 Moreirense FC

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Moreirense FC	H	3–2	W
28 Sep	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	1–0	W
20 Sep	FC Arouca	H	1–2	L
13 Sep	FC Porto	A	0–1	L
30 Aug	Casa Pia AC	A	2–0	W
23 Aug	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–4	L

Moreirense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	CD Nacional	A	2–3	L
27 Sep	Casa Pia AC	H	2–1	W
22 Sep	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–3	L
13 Sep	Rio Ave FC	H	3–1	W
29 Aug	Gil Vicente FC	A	0–2	L
23 Aug	Vitoria SC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

CD Nacional		Moreirense FC
#13	Position	#9
10	Points	14
11	Played	11
3 / 1 / 7	W / D / L	4 / 2 / 5
11	Scored	13
19	Conceded	18
-8	GD	-5
0.91	PPG	1.27
27%	Win %	36%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

9% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). Moreirense FC are 9th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

1/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/7

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Moreirense FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

5/1

31-45

–/3

46-60

2/4

61-75

–/3

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional

Matchoi Djalo	2 G
Miguel Baeza	2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya	2 G
Liziero	1 G	1 A
Leo Santos	1 G

Moreirense FC

Nile John	3 G
Tiago Andrade	2 G	2 A
Manuel Mendonca	2 G	1 A
Joao Veloso	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CD Nacional and Moreirense FC get this one started.
The referee brings this contest to a close. CD Nacional take all three points.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chiquinho	2
Okacha Hamzaoui	2
Heriberto Tavares	1
Bryan Rochez	1
Pedro Nuno	1
Jose Gomes	1
Witi	1
Yan Maranhao	1

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

2025-10-04 CD Nacional 3–2 Moreirense FC W 2025-09-28 Sporting Clube de Braga 0–1 CD Nacional W 2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca L 2025-09-13 FC Porto 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-08-30 Casa Pia AC 0–2 CD Nacional W 2025-08-23 CD Nacional 1–4 Sporting Clube de Portugal L

Moreirense FC Form

2025-10-04 CD Nacional 3–2 Moreirense FC L 2025-09-27 Moreirense FC 2–1 Casa Pia AC W 2025-09-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3–0 Moreirense FC L 2025-09-13 Moreirense FC 3–1 Rio Ave FC W 2025-08-29 Gil Vicente FC 2–0 Moreirense FC L 2025-08-23 Moreirense FC 2–0 Vitoria SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.74 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 Moreirense FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional46% Draw25% Moreirense FC29%

Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

70%

Draw or Moreirense FC

54%

CD Nacional or Moreirense FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional32% Draw42% Moreirense FC26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

2 – 0

5.8%

0 – 0

5.4%

0 – 1

5.1%

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	Moreirense FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	19%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	17%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.