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CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
4 1
Full Time
Sat 12 Aug 2017 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia — Serie A .

Head-to-Head

6
4
6
CA Paranaense 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals EC Bahia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug EC Bahia H 4–1 W
06 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
01 Aug CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
21 Jul Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
16 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–2 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug CA Paranaense A 1–4 L
06 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
03 Aug Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
30 Jul SC Recife H 1–3 L
22 Jul Santos FC A 0–3 L
20 Jul CA Mineiro A 2–0 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CA Paranaense Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense49% Draw24% EC Bahia27%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense35% Draw41% EC Bahia24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
22%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.