Wednesday , 11 November 2026

EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
EC Bahia
2 – 1
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Sun 6 Aug 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

EC Bahia 2.73
Draw 3.43
São Paulo FC 2.80

Head-to-Head

4
8
7
EC Bahia 19 games · Avg 2.3 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2017-08-06 EC Bahia 2–1 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
03 Aug Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
30 Jul SC Recife H 1–3 L
22 Jul Santos FC A 0–3 L
20 Jul CA Mineiro A 2–0 W
09 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug EC Bahia A 1–2 L
29 Jul Botafogo FR A 4–3 W
25 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Jul CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
16 Jul Chapecoense AF A 0–2 L
08 Jul Santos FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, Sao Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Sao Paulo FC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia48% Draw25% São Paulo FC27%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or São Paulo FC
52%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia33% Draw44% São Paulo FC23%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.