CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

CA Paranaense

1 – 0

Full Time

CR Flamengo

Sun 17 May 2026 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'

Stiven Mendoza 11' 1–0

Y 25' Jorge Carrascal

Filipinho 40' Y

Jadson 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
CR Flamengo 21 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

CA Paranaense 17 games · Avg 2.8 goals CR Flamengo

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-17 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Flamengo 2024-09-29 CR Flamengo 1–0 CA Paranaense 2024-06-16 CA Paranaense 1–1 CR Flamengo 2023-09-14 CR Flamengo 0–3 CA Paranaense 2023-05-07 CA Paranaense 2–1 CR Flamengo

Recent Form

CA Paranaense

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	CR Flamengo	H	1–0	W
10 May	CR Vasco da Gama	A	0–0	D
02 May	Gremio FBPA	H	0–0	D
26 Apr	EC Vitoria	H	3–1	W
19 Apr	SE Palmeiras	A	0–1	L
12 Apr	Chapecoense AF	H	2–0	W

CR Flamengo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	CA Paranaense	A	0–1	L
10 May	Gremio FBPA	A	0–0	D
03 May	CR Vasco da Gama	H	2–2	D
26 Apr	CA Mineiro	A	4–0	W
19 Apr	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Fluminense FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense		CR Flamengo
#3	Position	#2
41	Points	42
23	Played	21
12 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 3
31	Scored	39
20	Conceded	18
+11	GD	+21
1.78	PPG	2.00
52%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

43% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts). CR Flamengo are 2nd (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

1/1

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CR Flamengo

0-15

4/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/2

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/1

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense

Kevin Viveros	14 G	2 A
Stiven Mendoza	5 G
Julimar	3 G	1 A

CR Flamengo

Pedro	12 G	5 A
Samuel Lino	5 G	7 A
Giorgian De Arrascaeta	3 G	1 A
Lucas Paqueta	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: CR Flamengo gets underway.
5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and CR Flamengo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
11' Stiven Mendoza doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
16' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
21' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leonardo Jardim might look to freshen things up shortly.
25' That is a card for CR Flamengo. Jorge Carrascal will be fuming at that decision.
30' CR Flamengo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
35' CA Paranaense has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
40' It’s gonna be a card for Stiven Mendoza.
45' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
50' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. CR Flamengo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
55' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against CR Flamengo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
56' The referee calls foul for Jadson. He receives a card.
61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
66' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CR Flamengo backline.
71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
76' CR Flamengo have won 595 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CA Paranaense winning 100% of all matches.
86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kevin Viveros suffering a number of foals already.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CA Paranaense players.

Lineups

CA Paranaense Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Odair Hellmann

CR Flamengo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leonardo Jardim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Barbosa	6
Bruno Henrique	5
Renato Kayzer	3
Fabricio Bruno	2
Everton Ribeiro	2
Pedro	2
David Terans	2
Marcelo	2

Head to Head

CA Paranaense Form

2026-05-17 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Flamengo W 2026-05-10 CR Vasco da Gama 0–0 CA Paranaense D 2026-05-02 CA Paranaense 0–0 Gremio FBPA D 2026-04-26 CA Paranaense 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-04-19 SE Palmeiras 1–0 CA Paranaense L 2026-04-12 CA Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense AF W

CR Flamengo Form

2026-05-17 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Flamengo L 2026-05-10 Gremio FBPA 0–0 CR Flamengo D 2026-05-03 CR Flamengo 2–2 CR Vasco da Gama D 2026-04-26 CA Mineiro 0–4 CR Flamengo W 2026-04-19 CR Flamengo 2–0 EC Bahia W 2026-04-12 Fluminense FC 1–2 CR Flamengo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.09 CA Paranaense xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 CR Flamengo xG

I would bet for: CA Paranaense or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Paranaense42% Draw31% CR Flamengo27%

Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.04

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	33%	67%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw

73%

Draw or CR Flamengo

58%

CA Paranaense or CR Flamengo

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CA Paranaense25% Draw54% CR Flamengo21%

Actual: CA Paranaense win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.5%

1 – 1

14.4%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

11%

2 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

7.2%

1 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

5.5%

2 – 2

3.5%

3 – 0

2.7%

3 – 1

2.7%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap	CA Paranaense covers	Push	CR Flamengo covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	22%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.