Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
CA Paranaense
1 – 0
Full Time
CR Flamengo
Sun 17 May 2026 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'
Stiven Mendoza 11' 1–0
Y 25' Jorge Carrascal
Filipinho 40' Y
Jadson 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

7
3
7
CA Paranaense 17 games · Avg 2.8 goals CR Flamengo
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-17 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Flamengo 2024-09-29 CR Flamengo 1–0 CA Paranaense 2024-06-16 CA Paranaense 1–1 CR Flamengo 2023-09-14 CR Flamengo 0–3 CA Paranaense 2023-05-07 CA Paranaense 2–1 CR Flamengo

Recent Form

CA Paranaense
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
10 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
02 May Gremio FBPA H 0–0 D
26 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
19 Apr SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
12 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
CR Flamengo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CA Paranaense A 0–1 L
10 May Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
03 May CR Vasco da Gama H 2–2 D
26 Apr CA Mineiro A 4–0 W
19 Apr EC Bahia H 2–0 W
12 Apr Fluminense FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense CR Flamengo
#3 Position #1
49 Points 60
28 Played 28
14 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 18 / 6 / 4
43 Scored 55
32 Conceded 23
+11 GD +32
1.75 PPG 2.14
50% Win % 64%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
43% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (60 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 18 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 4 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
CR Flamengo
Pedro 16 G 6 A
Samuel Lino 9 G 7 A
Jorge Carrascal 5 G 7 A
Lucas Paqueta 5 G
Giorgian De Arrascaeta 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CR Flamengo get us underway at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
  • 5' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against CR Flamengo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 11' GOAL! Stiven Mendoza scores on 11.
  • 16' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 21' CR Flamengo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Jorge Carrascal was booked on 25.
  • 30' CR Flamengo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Guillermo Varela made 105 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Stiven Mendoza has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 45' Lucas Paqueta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Flamengo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Paranaense that had 383 games and scored 390 goals.
  • 56' CA Paranaense receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
  • 61' It’s high time Leonardo Jardim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin Viveros, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia with 5 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 71' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leo Pereira suffering a number of foals already.
  • 81' Santos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Flamengo tonight.
  • 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • The points are shared — CA Paranaense 1-0 CR Flamengo. Honours even.

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Barbosa 6
Bruno Henrique 5
Renato Kayzer 3
Marcelo 2
Fabricio Bruno 2
Everton Ribeiro 2
Pedro 2
David Terans 2

Head to Head

2026-05-17 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Flamengo 2024-09-29 CR Flamengo 1–0 CA Paranaense 2024-06-16 CA Paranaense 1–1 CR Flamengo 2023-09-14 CR Flamengo 0–3 CA Paranaense 2023-05-07 CA Paranaense 2–1 CR Flamengo

CA Paranaense Form

2026-05-17 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Flamengo W 2026-05-10 CR Vasco da Gama 0–0 CA Paranaense D 2026-05-02 CA Paranaense 0–0 Gremio FBPA D 2026-04-26 CA Paranaense 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-04-19 SE Palmeiras 1–0 CA Paranaense L 2026-04-12 CA Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense AF W

CR Flamengo Form

2026-05-17 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Flamengo L 2026-05-10 Gremio FBPA 0–0 CR Flamengo D 2026-05-03 CR Flamengo 2–2 CR Vasco da Gama D 2026-04-26 CA Mineiro 0–4 CR Flamengo W 2026-04-19 CR Flamengo 2–0 EC Bahia W 2026-04-12 Fluminense FC 1–2 CR Flamengo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for: CA Paranaense or CR Flamengo 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense40% Draw29% CR Flamengo31%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
69%
Draw or CR Flamengo
60%
CA Paranaense or CR Flamengo
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense24% Draw51% CR Flamengo25%
Actual: CA Paranaense win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push CR Flamengo covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.