Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 1
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 21:30 UTC ARENA MRV HT 45' · FT 45'
Alan Minda 17' 1–0
1–1 40' Willian Machado
Maycon pen 61' 2–1
Mamady Cisse 82' 3–1
Y 87' Reinaldo

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Mirassol FC H 3–1 W
10 May Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
03 May Cruzeiro EC A 3–1 W
26 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–4 L
19 Apr Coritiba FBC A 0–2 L
11 Apr Santos FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
10 May Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
03 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr SC Internacional A 2–1 W
11 Apr EC Bahia H 1–2 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Mirassol FC
#7 Position #15
40 Points 32
27 Played 28
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 12
36 Scored 33
32 Conceded 42
+4 GD -9
1.48 PPG 1.14
41% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at ARENA MRV. Ninety minutes of football awaits between CA Mineiro and Mirassol FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The 26-year-old Tomas Cuello has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Mirassol FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 17' A goal from the Ecuador international Alan Minda! He fires home on 17 to make it 1-0!
  • 22' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Mirassol FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' CA Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 40' Willian Machado doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eduardo Domínguez will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 50' Natanael is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' A goal from the Brazil international Maycon! He fires home on 61 to make it 2-1!
  • 66' CA Mineiro are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Mirassol FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 81' Reinaldo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 82' A stunning finish from Mamady Cisse — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Reinaldo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.82 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro53% Draw24% Mirassol FC23%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
78%
Draw or Mirassol FC
47%
CA Mineiro or Mirassol FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro37% Draw44% Mirassol FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.