Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 20:30 UTC ARENA MRV 29,356 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gustavo Scarpa 80' 2–0
2–1 88' Julimar
Y 19' Juan Aguirre

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Match Details

  • Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Neuza Ines Back
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Rocha (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 0.3/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
02 Apr Chapecoense AF A 4–0 W
21 Mar Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
11 Mar SC Internacional H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
01 Apr EC Bahia A 0–3 L
29 Mar Botafogo FR H 4–1 W
22 Mar Coritiba FBC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Cruzeiro EC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Fluminense FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro CA Paranaense
#7 Position #3
40 Points 49
27 Played 28
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 14 / 7 / 7
36 Scored 43
32 Conceded 32
+4 GD +11
1.48 PPG 1.75
41% Win % 50%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
36% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 18 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 4 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Mineiro and CA Paranaense has kicked off!
  • 5' Jadson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 398 appearances.
  • 6' A stunning finish from Victor Hugo Gomes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' CA Paranaense fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 19' Juan Aguirre picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 24' The travelling CA Paranaense supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' The 26-year-old Kevin Viveros has been sensational this season — 12 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' Renan Lodi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 28 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Julimar on, Stiven Mendoza off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and CA Paranaense are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 61' Derik, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 66' It’s high time Odair Hellmann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Dudu. He replaces Tomas Cuello on 69 minute.
  • 70' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Reinier is withdrawn and Bernard gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Leozinho is replacing Derik for the CA Paranaense side.
  • 77' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Gustavo Scarpa comes on to replace Victor Hugo Gomes.
  • 80' GOAL! Gustavo Scarpa scores on 80. Assisted by Natanael
  • 85' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Mateo Cassierra comes on to replace Hulk.
  • 88' Julimar adds to his 1 season tally! CA Paranaense lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 88' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 88 minute. Luiz Gustavo leaves to be changed by Bruno Ramos.
  • With this win, CA Mineiro is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro51% Draw26% CA Paranaense23%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
77%
Draw or CA Paranaense
49%
CA Mineiro or CA Paranaense
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro34% Draw48% CA Paranaense18%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push CA Paranaense covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.