Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Oxford United FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium 9,439 HT 45' · FT 45'

Billy Bodin 13' 1–0

Sam Long 81' 2–0

2–1 89' Aaron Collins

Cameron Brannagan 15' Y

Elliott Moore 46' Y

Y 48' Chris Martin

Y 57' Jevani Brown

YR 63' Jevani Brown

Y 78' Sam Finley

Oisin Smyth 90' Y

Oisin Smyth 90' YR

Stanley Mills 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Oxford United FC 6 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Simon Mather
Assistant 1 Andrew Aylott
Assistant 2 Abbas Khan

4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2023-02-25 Oxford United FC 0–3 Bristol Rovers FC 2022-08-13 Bristol Rovers FC 1–0 Oxford United FC 2021-11-07 Oxford United FC 2–2 Bristol Rovers FC 2021-02-09 Bristol Rovers FC 0–2 Oxford United FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Bristol Rovers FC	H	2–1	W
03 Oct	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Stevenage FC	A	3–1	W
23 Sep	Exeter City FC	H	3–0	W
16 Sep	Fleetwood Town FC	A	3–0	W
02 Sep	Port Vale FC	H	1–2	L

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	1–2	L
03 Oct	Port Vale FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Peterborough United FC	A	0–2	L
23 Sep	Wigan Athletic FC	H	4–1	W
16 Sep	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	2–0	W
02 Sep	Lincoln City FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC

Mark Harris	3 G	1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor	3 G	1 A
Ciaron Brown	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Kassam Stadium. Oxford United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Bristol Rovers FC.
5' The travelling Bristol Rovers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
13' Billy Bodin makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Oxford United FC are in front.
15' That looks like a foul for a card for Cameron Brannagan.
20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Greg Leigh, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 9 goals in the last 9 games.
25' Oxford United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol Rovers FC backline.
30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lamare Bogarde made 361 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oxford United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
40' Joshua Grant has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 10 appearances.
45' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
46' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Fin Stevens is replaced by Stanley Mills on 46 minute.
46' It’s a booking for Oxford United FC player. Elliott Moore gets a card.
48' Bristol Rovers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
57' Jevani Brown catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
58' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Josh Murphy comes on to replace Billy Bodin.
63' Controversy at the stadium! Jevani Brown argues furiously but the card stands.
68' Jevani Brown has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
70' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Mark Harris exits the field as Gatlin O'Donkor enters on 70.
75' Another change for Bristol Rovers FC made on 75 minute. Jack Hunt leaves to be changed by Luca Hoole.
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sam Finley.
81' GOAL! Sam Long scores on 81. Assisted by Cameron Brannagan
84' Chris Martin makes way for Scott Sinclair at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bristol Rovers FC.
88' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oisin Smyth is hanging Ruben Rodrigues on the field on 88 minute.
89' Aaron Collins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
90' The referee calls foul for Oisin Smyth. He receives a card.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Oxford United FC 2-1 Bristol Rovers FC.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Liam Manning

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Sam Finley ↑ 58'
28
James Gibbons
7
Scott Sinclair ↑ 84'
21
Antony Evans ↑ 58'
30
Luca Hoole ↑ 75'
35
Matthew Hall

Coach Joey Barton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matt Taylor	3
Alex Jakubiak	2
Aaron Collins	2
Tom Nichols	1
Scott Sinclair	1
Edward Upson	1
Luca Hoole	1
Jonson Clarke-Harris	1

Head to Head

Oxford United FC Form

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-10-03 Oxford United FC 3–0 Shrewsbury Town FC W 2023-09-30 Stevenage FC 1–3 Oxford United FC W 2023-09-23 Oxford United FC 3–0 Exeter City FC W 2023-09-16 Fleetwood Town FC 0–3 Oxford United FC W 2023-09-02 Oxford United FC 1–2 Port Vale FC L

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-03 Bristol Rovers FC 3–0 Port Vale FC W 2023-09-30 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-09-23 Bristol Rovers FC 4–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–2 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-09-02 Bristol Rovers FC 1–1 Lincoln City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC49% Draw27% Bristol Rovers FC24%

Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

51%

Oxford United FC or Bristol Rovers FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC33% Draw48% Bristol Rovers FC19%

Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.