Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium 9,439 HT 45' · FT 45'
Billy Bodin 13' 1–0
Sam Long 81' 2–0
2–1 89' Aaron Collins

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FCLeague One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Mather
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Aylott
  • Assistant 2 Abbas Khan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
03 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC H 3–0 W
30 Sep Stevenage FC A 3–1 W
23 Sep Exeter City FC H 3–0 W
16 Sep Fleetwood Town FC A 3–0 W
02 Sep Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
03 Oct Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
30 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Wigan Athletic FC H 4–1 W
16 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–0 W
02 Sep Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Oxford United FC to score. At the same time, Bristol Rovers FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chris Martin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 13' GOAL! Billy Bodin scores on 13. Assisted by Ruben Rodrigues
  • 15' The referee shows Oxford United FC player a card on 15.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Greg Leigh made 358 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mark Harris, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 9 goals in the last 8 games.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Stanley Mills. He replaces Fin Stevens on 46 minute.
  • 46' Oxford United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 48' It’s a booking for Bristol Rovers FC player. Chris Martin gets a card.
  • 53' Bristol Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' Bristol Rovers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 58' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Murphy is hanging Billy Bodin on the field on 58 minute.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Jevani Brown.
  • 68' Ciaron Brown needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 27 Yellow cards this season.
  • 70' The whistle greets Mark Harris as he departs to be replaced by Gatlin O'Donkor.
  • 75' Luca Hoole is replacing Jack Hunt for the Bristol Rovers FC side.
  • 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Finley on 78.
  • 81' What a strike from Sam Long! The score is 2-0.
  • 84' Bristol Rovers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Scott Sinclair is hanging Chris Martin on the field on 84 minute.
  • 88' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Ruben Rodrigues by Oisin Smyth on 88 minute.
  • 89' GOAL! Aaron Collins scores on 89.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Oisin Smyth.
  • Another three points for Oxford United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC49% Draw27% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
51%
Oxford United FC or Bristol Rovers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC33% Draw48% Bristol Rovers FC19%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.