Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.
- Oxford United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simon Mather
- Assistant 1 Andrew Aylott
- Assistant 2 Abbas Khan
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Exeter City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Port Vale FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Oxford United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Oct | Port Vale FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Peterborough United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Lincoln City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Oxford United FC to score. At the same time, Bristol Rovers FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chris Martin suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 13' GOAL! Billy Bodin scores on 13. Assisted by Ruben Rodrigues
- 15' The referee shows Oxford United FC player a card on 15.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Greg Leigh made 358 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mark Harris, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 9 goals in the last 8 games.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Stanley Mills. He replaces Fin Stevens on 46 minute.
- 46' Oxford United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 48' It’s a booking for Bristol Rovers FC player. Chris Martin gets a card.
- 53' Bristol Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' Bristol Rovers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
- 58' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Murphy is hanging Billy Bodin on the field on 58 minute.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Jevani Brown.
- 68' Ciaron Brown needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 27 Yellow cards this season.
- 70' The whistle greets Mark Harris as he departs to be replaced by Gatlin O'Donkor.
- 75' Luca Hoole is replacing Jack Hunt for the Bristol Rovers FC side.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Finley on 78.
- 81' What a strike from Sam Long! The score is 2-0.
- 84' Bristol Rovers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Scott Sinclair is hanging Chris Martin on the field on 84 minute.
- 88' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Ruben Rodrigues by Oisin Smyth on 88 minute.
- 89' GOAL! Aaron Collins scores on 89.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Oisin Smyth.
- Another three points for Oxford United FC.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Gatlin O'Donkor 70'
- 3
-
10
Billy Bodin ↓ Josh Murphy 58'
- 2
- 8
- 18
- 5
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Oisin Smyth 88'
- 1
-
15
Fin Stevens ↓ Stanley Mills 46'
- 22
Bench
-
23
Josh Murphy ↑ 58'
- 4
- 6
- 13
-
39
Gatlin O'Donkor ↑ 70'
-
14
Oisin Smyth ↑ 88'
-
7
Stanley Mills ↑ 46'
Coach
Liam Manning
Bristol Rovers FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
42
Jack Hunt ↓ Luca Hoole 75'
- 15
-
18
Chris Martin ↓ Scott Sinclair 84'
- 10
- 20
- 4
-
23
Luke McCormick ↓ Sam Finley 58'
- 33
- 17
- 19
-
22
Lamare Bogarde ↓ Antony Evans 58'
Bench
-
6
Sam Finley ↑ 58'
- 28
-
7
Scott Sinclair ↑ 84'
-
21
Antony Evans ↑ 58'
-
30
Luca Hoole ↑ 75'
- 35
Coach
Joey Barton
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matt Taylor | 3 |
| Alex Jakubiak | 2 |
| Aaron Collins | 2 |
| Elliot Lee | 1 |
| Mark Harris | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 1 |
| Marcus McGuane | 1 |
| Luke Thomas | 1 |
Head to Head
Oxford United FC Form
Bristol Rovers FC Form
2023-10-07
Oxford United FC
2–1
Bristol Rovers FC
L
2023-10-03
Bristol Rovers FC
3–0
Port Vale FC
W
2023-09-30
Peterborough United FC
2–0
Bristol Rovers FC
L
2023-09-23
Bristol Rovers FC
4–1
Wigan Athletic FC
W
2023-09-16
Shrewsbury Town FC
0–2
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2023-09-02
Bristol Rovers FC
1–1
Lincoln City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Oxford United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
51%
Oxford United FC or Bristol Rovers FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Bristol Rovers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

