Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Oxford United FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium 9,439 HT 45' · FT 45'

Billy Bodin 13' 1–0

Sam Long 81' 2–0

2–1 89' Aaron Collins

Cameron Brannagan 15' Y

Elliott Moore 46' Y

Y 48' Chris Martin

Y 57' Jevani Brown

YR 63' Jevani Brown

Y 78' Sam Finley

Oisin Smyth 90' Y

Oisin Smyth 90' YR

Stanley Mills 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Oxford United FC 13 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Simon Mather
Assistant 1 Andrew Aylott
Assistant 2 Abbas Khan

7 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Blackpool FC	13	12
20	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
21	Wigan Athletic FC	15	12
22	Barnsley FC	13	10
23	Peterborough United FC	13	10
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2023-02-25 Oxford United FC 0–3 Bristol Rovers FC 2022-08-13 Bristol Rovers FC 1–0 Oxford United FC 2021-11-07 Oxford United FC 2–2 Bristol Rovers FC 2021-02-09 Bristol Rovers FC 0–2 Oxford United FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Bristol Rovers FC	H	2–1	W
03 Oct	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Stevenage FC	A	3–1	W
23 Sep	Exeter City FC	H	3–0	W
16 Sep	Fleetwood Town FC	A	3–0	W
02 Sep	Port Vale FC	H	1–2	L

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	1–2	L
03 Oct	Port Vale FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Peterborough United FC	A	0–2	L
23 Sep	Wigan Athletic FC	H	4–1	W
16 Sep	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	2–0	W
02 Sep	Lincoln City FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/2

61-75

3/2

76+

9/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC

Mark Harris	6 G	1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor	4 G	2 A
Cameron Brannagan	2 G
Ciaron Brown	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Kassam Stadium as Oxford United FC face off against Bristol Rovers FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' Bristol Rovers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
13' Billy Bodin doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
15' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cameron Brannagan on 15 minutes.
20' Oxford United FC have won 503 goals from 376 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
25' Bristol Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcus McGuane, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
40' Bristol Rovers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
46' Stanley Mills gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Fin Stevens and will look to change the dynamic.
46' The referee shows Oxford United FC player a card on 46.
48' A moment of madness from Chris Martin on 48 minutes earns him a card. Bristol Rovers FC will be frustrated.
53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
57' The referee shows Bristol Rovers FC player a card on 57.
58' Josh Murphy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Billy Bodin at the 58 minute mark.
63' That is a card for Bristol Rovers FC. Jevani Brown will be fuming at that decision.
68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Joey Barton will be considering his options from the bench.
70' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gatlin O'Donkor is hanging Mark Harris on the field on 70 minute.
75' Bristol Rovers FC make a change. Jack Hunt trudges off to be replaced by Luca Hoole on 75 minutes.
78' That is a card for Bristol Rovers FC. Sam Finley will be fuming at that decision.
81' The England Sam Long breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 2-0!
84' Scott Sinclair has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chris Martin on 84 minute.
88' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Ruben Rodrigues is withdrawn and Oisin Smyth gets his opportunity.
89' Against the run of play, Aaron Collins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
90' That is a card for Oxford United FC. Oisin Smyth will be fuming at that decision.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Oxford United FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Liam Manning

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Sam Finley ↑ 58'
28
James Gibbons
7
Scott Sinclair ↑ 84'
21
Antony Evans ↑ 58'
30
Luca Hoole ↑ 75'
35
Matthew Hall

Coach Joey Barton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matt Taylor	3
Alex Jakubiak	2
Aaron Collins	2
Chris Martin	1
Marcus McGuane	1
Luke Thomas	1
Sam Finley	1
Harvey Vale	1

Head to Head

Oxford United FC Form

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-10-03 Oxford United FC 3–0 Shrewsbury Town FC W 2023-09-30 Stevenage FC 1–3 Oxford United FC W 2023-09-23 Oxford United FC 3–0 Exeter City FC W 2023-09-16 Fleetwood Town FC 0–3 Oxford United FC W 2023-09-02 Oxford United FC 1–2 Port Vale FC L

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-03 Bristol Rovers FC 3–0 Port Vale FC W 2023-09-30 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-09-23 Bristol Rovers FC 4–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–2 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-09-02 Bristol Rovers FC 1–1 Lincoln City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC49% Draw27% Bristol Rovers FC24%

Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

51%

Oxford United FC or Bristol Rovers FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC33% Draw48% Bristol Rovers FC19%

Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.