Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Memorial Stadium 7,644 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chris Martin pen 6' 1–0
1–1 38' Aaron Morley
Chris Martin 63' 2–1
2–2 70' John McAtee
Connor Taylor 88' 3–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 2–3 L
08 Mar Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
01 Mar Wrexham AFC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Bristol Rovers FC host Bolton Wanderers FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bristol Rovers FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 6' A stunning finish from Chris Martin — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Connor Taylor made 380 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 16' The 25-year-old Will Forrester has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 21' Szabolcs Schon, a Hungary , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' Bolton Wanderers FC have won 383 goals from 318 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' What composure from Aaron Morley! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 48' Matt Butcher needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 53' Over 53 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' Jordi Osei-Tutu is replacing Szabolcs Schon for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 63' Chris Martin with the second goal in the match!
  • 68' Bolton Wanderers FC make a change. Alex Murphy trudges off to be replaced by Carlos Mendes Gomes on 68 minutes.
  • 70' The England John McAtee breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 2-2!
  • 71' Scott Sinclair is replacing Chris Martin for the Bristol Rovers FC side.
  • 76' The Bristol Rovers FC bench stirs into life. Joel Senior is withdrawn and Isaac Hutchinson gets his opportunity.
  • 81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bristol Rovers FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Bristol Rovers FC team. Kofi Shaw is replaced by Luke Thomas on 83 minute.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC. Gethin Jones is replaced by Chris Forino-Joseph.
  • 88' What a moment for Connor Taylor! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Shaqai Forde. He receives a card.
  • Bristol Rovers FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol Rovers FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC41% Draw27% Bolton Wanderers FC32%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
59%
Bristol Rovers FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC30% Draw45% Bolton Wanderers FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.