Botafogo FR vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 28 games · 35 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Paulo Zanovelli da Silva (Brazil)
7 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Dec | Cruzeiro EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Nov | SC Recife | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | EC Vitoria | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 2–4 | L |
| 03 Dec | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–3 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 9 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio Nilton Santos. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Botafogo FR and Fortaleza EC.
- 5' Fortaleza EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Weverson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 17' Brilliant from the ! Breno Lopes makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 17.
- 22' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 27' Botafogo FR are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fortaleza EC backline.
- 32' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 40.
- 45' A moment of madness from Adam Bareiro on 45 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
- 46' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Yago Pikachu departs to be replaced by Matheus Rossetto.
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Arthur Cabral gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
- 50' A goal from the Argentina international Alvaro Montoro! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-1!
- 55' Botafogo FR is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' What a strike from Adam Bareiro! The score is 2-2.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 64' Deyverson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Bareiro on 64 minute.
- 68' The Botafogo FR manager makes a substitution. Artur Guimaraes departs to be replaced by Santiago Rodriguez.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Weverson. He replaces Diogo Barbosa on 70 minute.
- 75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 79' Botafogo FR make a change. Vitinho trudges off to be replaced by Mateo Ponte on 79 minutes.
- 82' Breno Lopes makes way for Rodrigo at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
- 84' Magnificent from Marcal! That is 9 goals in 432 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' Poor challenge from Kauan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' A tactical swap from Botafogo FR — Kauan on, Alvaro Montoro off on 90 minutes.
- Fortaleza EC will have plenty to reflect on. Botafogo FR were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
- 7
- 21
- 25
-
13
Alex Telles ↓ Cuiabano 68'
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 79'
- 17
- 1
-
8
Alvaro Montoro ↓ Kauan 90'
-
14
Jordan Barrera ↓ Newton 90'
- 26
Bench
- 20
-
23
Santiago Rodriguez ↑ 68'
- 47
- 9
-
6
Cuiabano ↑ 68'
-
28
Newton ↑ 90'
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 79'
- 32
- 58
-
59
Kauan ↑ 90'
- 64
- 37
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Matheus Rossetto 46'
-
16
Diogo Barbosa ↓ Weverson 70'
- 7
- 88
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Deyverson 64'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Rodrigo 82'
- 14
-
30
Pierre ↓ Lucas Crispim 82'
- 34
- 12
Bench
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 46'
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 64'
- 25
- 5
- 13
- 9
- 2
-
36
Weverson ↑ 70'
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↑ 82'
- 96
-
29
Rodrigo ↑ 82'
- 19
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Moises Vieira | 4 |
| Marcal | 4 |
| Danilo Barbosa | 3 |
| Bergson | 2 |
| Guilherme Augusto | 2 |
| Igor Jesus | 2 |
| Arthur Cabral | 2 |
| Carlos Eduardo | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
45%
Botafogo FR or Fortaleza EC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

