Saturday , 14 November 2026

Botafogo FR vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Eros Mancuso
Y 45' Adam Bareiro
Kauan 90' Y
Y 90' Rodrigo

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Match Details

  • Referee Paulo Zanovelli da Silva (Brazil)
9 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Fortaleza EC H 4–2 W
04 Dec Cruzeiro EC A 2–2 D
30 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–2 D
22 Nov Gremio FBPA H 3–2 W
18 Nov SC Recife H 3–2 W
09 Nov EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Botafogo FR A 2–4 L
03 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
30 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–0 W
20 Nov EC Bahia A 3–2 W
12 Nov CA Mineiro A 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 10 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 6 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio Nilton Santos as Botafogo FR face off against Fortaleza EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Botafogo FR currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Allan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Breno Lopes makes it 0-1.
  • 22' Over 22 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 27' A quiet spell here at Estadio Nilton Santos. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 37' Botafogo FR seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Eros Mancuso. He receives a card.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Adam Bareiro on 45 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 46' Matheus Rossetto is replacing Yago Pikachu for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 48' GOAL! Arthur Cabral fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alvaro Montoro makes it 2-1.
  • 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' Adam Bareiro makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Fortaleza EC are in front.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' Fortaleza EC make a change. Adam Bareiro trudges off to be replaced by Deyverson on 64 minutes.
  • 68' Santiago Rodriguez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Artur Guimaraes on 68 minute.
  • 70' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Weverson is hanging Diogo Barbosa on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' Lucas Crispim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 79' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Vitinho is withdrawn and Mateo Ponte gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Rodrigo comes on to replace Breno Lopes.
  • 84' A stunning finish from Marcal — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 89' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kauan.
  • 90' Kauan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alvaro Montoro at the 90 minute mark.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Botafogo FR take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR55% Draw22% Fortaleza EC23%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
45%
Botafogo FR or Fortaleza EC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR40% Draw40% Fortaleza EC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.