Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 22 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,793 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tomoki Iwata 3' 1–0
Jay Stansfield pen 86' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FCLeague One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
19 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
01 Oct Northampton Town FC A 4–2 W
28 Sep Crawley Town FC A 2–0 W
21 Sep Reading FC H 5–2 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Birmingham City FC and Bolton Wanderers FC is underway.
  • 3' Birmingham City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tomoki Iwata on 3.
  • 8' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' Bolton Wanderers FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 20' Marc Leonard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emil Hansson on 20 minute.
  • 24' Bolton Wanderers FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' The travelling Bolton Wanderers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' Jay Matete was booked on 39.
  • 44' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Seung-Ho Paik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Kyle Dempsey by John McAtee on 46 minute.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ben Davies suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC. Scott Arfield is replaced by Victor Adeboyejo.
  • 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
  • 65' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Ethan Laird by Taylor Gardner-Hickman on 65 minute.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Will Forrester. He replaces Randell Williams on 69 minute.
  • 74' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a card for John McAtee.
  • 83' It looks like no one’s ball. Bolton Wanderers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 86' What a strike from Jay Stansfield! The score is 2-0.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Christoph Klarer.
  • 87' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Keshi Anderson departs to be replaced by Lyndon Dykes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Bolton Wanderers FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC45% Draw29% Bolton Wanderers FC26%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
55%
Birmingham City FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC30% Draw50% Bolton Wanderers FC20%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.