Sunday , 15 November 2026

Astana FK vs Valletta FC, Europe 2019-20 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND

UEFA Europa League · 2019-20
5 – 1
Full Time
Thu 8 Aug 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45+3' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Astana FK vs Valletta FC — Europe .

Match Details

  • Referee Vladislav Bezborodov
  • Referee Valery Danchenko
  • Referee Maksim Gavrilin
  • Referee Aleksey Eskov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug Valletta FC H 5–1 W
01 Aug FC Santa Coloma H 4–1 W
23 Jul FC Santa Coloma A 0–0 D
17 Jul FC CFR 1907 Cluj A 1–3 L
09 Jul FC CFR 1907 Cluj H 1–0 W
13 Dec Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug Astana FK A 1–5 L
30 Jul Ferencvárosi TC H 1–1 D
24 Jul Ferencvárosi TC A 1–3 L
16 Jul F91 Diddeleng H 1–1 D
09 Jul F91 Diddeleng A 2–2 D
02 Aug HSK Zrinjski Mostar H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Astana FK welcome Valletta FC for this crunch clash at .
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 8' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Runar Mar Sigurjonsson makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 13' With 0 assists to his name this season, Firmin Mubele is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Valletta FC.
  • 15' Magnificent from Yuri Logvinenko! That is 2 goals in 188 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dmitriy Shomko suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marin Tomasov makes it 3-0.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Darren Abdilla will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Astana FK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valletta FC backline.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' Evgeny Postnikov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 57' What a strike from Runar Mar Sigurjonsson! The score is 4-0.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Kevin Tulimieri as he leaves the pitch. Nicholas Pulis steps in for Valletta FC.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Astana FK — Rangelo Janga on, Firmin Mubele off on 63 minutes.
  • 67' Against the run of play, Mario Fontanella has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 77' The home supporters are growing impatient. Astana FK must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 78' Valletta FC make a change. Douglas Packer trudges off to be replaced by Matteo Piciollo on 78 minutes.
  • 80' What composure from Rangelo Janga! The Curacao international strokes it home. 5-1.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Yuri Logvinenko. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 87' The whistle greets Dorin Rotariu as he departs to be replaced by Roman Murtazaev.
  • Astana FK celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15 Astana FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Valletta FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Astana FK59% Draw22% Valletta FC19%
Actual: Astana FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Astana FK or Draw
81%
Draw or Valletta FC
41%
Astana FK or Valletta FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Astana FK43% Draw40% Valletta FC17%
Actual: Astana FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Astana FK

Handicap Astana FK covers Push Valletta FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Astana FK keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Valletta FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.