Sunday , 16 August 2026

America FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 27 Aug 2023 · 19:00 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

America FC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Independencia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
19 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–3 L
13 Aug Goiás EC H 0–1 L
06 Aug EC Bahia A 1–3 L
30 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–4 L
22 Jul CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug America FC A 1–2 L
19 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
13 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
06 Aug CA Mineiro H 0–2 L
30 Jul EC Bahia H 0–0 D
22 Jul Cuiaba EC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Independencia. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juan Santos made 371 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leandro Martinez on 19.
  • 24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His America FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 29' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Felipe Azevedo on 33 minutes.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Belem on 36.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. America FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' The whistle greets Juan Santos as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Moura.
  • 51' Sao Paulo FC have won 405 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
  • 61' Gonzalo Mastriani is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 64' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Luan is withdrawn and Jonathan Calleri gets his opportunity.
  • 65' America FC make a change. Rodriguinho trudges off to be replaced by Breno on 65 minutes.
  • 66' Breno catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 66.
  • 71' Rodrigo Varanda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felipe Azevedo on 71 minute.
  • 73' It’s a booking for America FC player. Gonzalo Mastriani gets a Red card.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Robert Arboleda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
  • 76' America FC ring the changes. Marlon has done his job and it is now time for Eder Ferreira to step up.
  • 79' Iago Maidana is having his name booked by the referee on 79.
  • 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Juninho.
  • 81' What an equalizer from Alexandre Pato!
  • 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 90' Assisted by Juninho with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rodrigo Varanda makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 America FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: America FC or Sao Paulo FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
America FC40% Draw28% Sao Paulo FC32%
Actual: America FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

America FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
60%
America FC or Sao Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
America FC26% Draw49% Sao Paulo FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — America FC

Handicap America FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

America FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.