AZ vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AZ vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | NAC Breda | H | 3–3 | D |
| 10 May | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FC Twente '65 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Apr | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | SC Heerenveen | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | AZ | A | 3–3 | D |
| 10 May | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 May | FC Utrecht | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
AZ this season
AZ this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AZ
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! AZ vs NAC Breda — let the football do the talking.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 8' Sven Mijnans puts AZ on the lead.
- 12' Magnificent from Mateo Chavez! That is 2 goals in 300 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 17' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
- 22' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AZ and NAC Breda are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 27' It is a cagey affair so far. AZ in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past NAC Breda's compact 5-3-2.
- 32' Ro-Zangelo Daal has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alexandre Penetra made 238 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' Kamal Sowah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 57' A quiet spell here at AFAS Stadion. AZ seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Rio Hillen.
- 61' Moussa Soumano adds to his 0 season tally! NAC Breda lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 71' Assisted by Fredrik Jensen with the perfectly-timed delivery and Moussa Soumano makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 76' NAC Breda have won 74 goals from 103 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 85' Mexx Meerdink is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 89' A stunning finish from Juho Talvitie — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' Goal! Mexx Meerdink scores his 12 goal in 300 matches.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
AZ Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 10
- 9
- 17
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 3
- 22
- 27
- 15
Bench
- 41
- 11
- 2
- 30
- 35
- 7
- 23
- 24
- 18
- 33
- 20
- 45
Coach
Leeroy Echteld
NAC Breda Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 15
- 8
- 20
- 99
- 14
- 9
- 55
- 22
- 16
- 25
- 26
Bench
- 24
- 31
- 90
- 1
- 7
- 4
- 32
- 21
- 44
- 30
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Mexx Meerdink | 2 |
| Moussa Soumano | 2 |
| Bjorn Maars Johnsen | 1 |
| Pantelis Chatzidiakos | 1 |
| Troy Parrott | 1 |
| Jonas Svensson | 1 |
| Mees De Wit | 1 |
Head to Head
AZ Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81
AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AZ or Draw
76%
Draw or NAC Breda
48%
AZ or NAC Breda
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AZ win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AZ
| Handicap | AZ covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AZ keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.