AZ vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AZ vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | NAC Breda | H | 3–3 | D |
| 10 May | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FC Twente '65 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Apr | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | SC Heerenveen | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | AZ | A | 3–3 | D |
| 10 May | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 May | FC Utrecht | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AZ this season
AZ this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AZ
0-15
3/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AZ
| Mexx Meerdink | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | 5 G | 1 A |
| Ayoub Oufkir | 3 G | |
| Jizz Hornkamp | 2 G | |
| Calvin Stengs | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: AZ gets underway.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. AZ and NAC Breda are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 8' Sven Mijnans doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 12' What a strike from Mateo Chavez! The score is 2-0.
- 17' The travelling NAC Breda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 22' It’s high time Carl Hoefkens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AZ that had 313 games and scored 592 goals.
- 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' Jordy Clasie is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for NAC Breda tonight.
- 42' NAC Breda come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 47' Elijah Dijkstra has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' Rio Hillen is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Moussa Soumano makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 61.
- 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AZ needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 71' Moussa Soumano makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and NAC Breda are in front.
- 76' A quiet spell here at AFAS Stadion. NAC Breda seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 81' AZ currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 85' A moment of madness from Mexx Meerdink on 85 minutes earns him a card. AZ will be frustrated.
- 89' Goal! Juho Talvitie scores his 4 goal in 233 matches.
- 90' GOAL! Mexx Meerdink scores on 90.
- The points are shared — AZ 3-3 NAC Breda. Honours even.
Lineups
AZ Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 10
- 9
- 17
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 3
- 22
- 27
- 15
Bench
- 41
- 11
- 2
- 30
- 35
- 7
- 23
- 24
- 18
- 33
- 20
- 45
Coach
Leeroy Echteld
NAC Breda Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 15
- 8
- 20
- 99
- 14
- 9
- 55
- 22
- 16
- 25
- 26
Bench
- 24
- 31
- 90
- 1
- 7
- 4
- 32
- 21
- 44
- 30
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mexx Meerdink | 2 |
| Moussa Soumano | 2 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Pantelis Chatzidiakos | 1 |
| Troy Parrott | 1 |
| Jonas Svensson | 1 |
| Mees De Wit | 1 |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 1 |
Head to Head
AZ Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81
AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AZ or Draw
76%
Draw or NAC Breda
48%
AZ or NAC Breda
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AZ win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AZ
| Handicap | AZ covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AZ keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.