Sunday , 16 August 2026

AS Roma vs FC Porto, Europe 2024-25 PLAYOFFS

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
3 2
Full Time
Thu 20 Feb 2025 · 17:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs FC PortoEurope at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
19 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb FC Porto H 3–2 W
16 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W
13 Feb FC Porto A 1–1 D
09 Feb Venezia FC A 1–0 W
02 Feb SSC Napoli H 1–1 D
30 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb AS Roma A 2–3 L
16 Feb SC Farense A 1–0 W
13 Feb AS Roma H 1–1 D
07 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
03 Feb Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
30 Jan Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma FC Porto
#8 Position #5
16 Points 17
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 2 / 1
13 Scored 13
6 Conceded 7
+7 GD +6
2.00 PPG 2.13
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
25% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season

AS Roma are 8th (16 pts). FC Porto are 5th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AS Roma
Donyell Malen 4 G
Lorenzo Pellegrini 3 G 2 A
FC Porto
William da Silva 4 G
Rodrigo Mora 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AS Roma and FC Porto is underway.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 527 games and scored 607 goals.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin Anselmi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' FC Porto have won 697 goals from 491 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 26' That is a card for FC Porto. Otavio Ataide will be fuming at that decision.
  • 27' A stunning finish from Samu Omorodion — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 29' AS Roma receives a card for a hard tackle on 29.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nehuen Perez on 32 minutes.
  • 35' What a strike from Paulo Dybala! The score is 1-1.
  • 39' The deadlock is broken! Paulo Dybala gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Martin Anselmi. He receives a card.
  • 46' AS Roma are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Porto's shape.
  • 51' Stephen Eustaquio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
  • 56' Goncalo Borges gets the nod from FC Porto. He replaces Pepe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' Brazil international Otavio Ataide has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 65' It is a substitution in FC Porto team. Otavio Ataide is replaced by Rodrigo Mora on 65 minute.
  • 70' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 78' Another substitution for AS Roma to replace Lorenzo Pellegrini by Niccolo Pisilli on 78 minute.
  • 82' Another change for FC Porto made on 82 minute. Moura leaves to be changed by Daniel Namaso.
  • 83' Assisted by Angelino with the perfectly-timed delivery and Niccolo Pisilli makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 87' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Paulo Dybala is replaced by Tommaso Baldanzi on 87 minute.
  • 90' FC Porto receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 FC Porto xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma47% Draw26% FC Porto27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Porto
53%
AS Roma or FC Porto
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma31% Draw47% FC Porto22%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push FC Porto covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
31%
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.