Saturday , 14 November 2026

AS Roma vs FC Porto, Europe 2024-25 PLAYOFFS

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
3 – 2
Full Time
Thu 20 Feb 2025 · 17:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs FC Porto — Europe at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb FC Porto H 3–2 W
16 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W
13 Feb FC Porto A 1–1 D
09 Feb Venezia FC A 1–0 W
02 Feb SSC Napoli H 1–1 D
30 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb AS Roma A 2–3 L
16 Feb SC Farense A 1–0 W
13 Feb AS Roma H 1–1 D
07 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
03 Feb Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
30 Jan Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma FC Porto
#8 Position #5
16 Points 17
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 2 / 1
13 Scored 13
6 Conceded 7
+7 GD +6
2.00 PPG 2.13
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 8th (16 pts). FC Porto are 5th (17 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AS Roma gets underway.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Goncalo Borges has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Angelino made 449 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' Otavio Ataide catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
  • 27' Samu Omorodion is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 29' It’s gonna be a card for Paulo Dybala.
  • 32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nehuen Perez.
  • 35' GOAL! Paulo Dybala fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 39' AS Roma is taking the lead after the goal scored by Paulo Dybala on 39.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Martin Anselmi on 41.
  • 46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Roma side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Stephen Eustaquio argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 56' Goncalo Borges has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pepe on 56 minute.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Claudio Ranieri will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 65' The FC Porto manager makes a substitution. Otavio Ataide departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Mora.
  • 70' Daniel Namaso is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Porto so far.
  • 75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' AS Roma make a change. Lorenzo Pellegrini trudges off to be replaced by Niccolo Pisilli on 78 minutes.
  • 82' FC Porto make a change. Moura trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Namaso on 82 minutes.
  • 83' What composure from Niccolo Pisilli! The Italy international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 87' AS Roma make a change. Paulo Dybala trudges off to be replaced by Tommaso Baldanzi on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for William da Silva. He receives a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AS Roma players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 FC Porto xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma47% Draw26% FC Porto27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Porto
53%
AS Roma or FC Porto
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma31% Draw47% FC Porto22%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push FC Porto covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.