Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale AFC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Tue 27 Apr 2021 · 18:00 UTC Plough Lane HT 45+2' · FT 45+9'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale AFCLeague One at Plough Lane.

Match Details

  • Referee Garry Maskell
  • Referee Stephen Finch
  • Referee Dan Cook
  • Referee Ben Speedie

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Rochdale AFC H 3–3 D
24 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 0–0 D
20 Apr Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
17 Apr Swindon Town FC H 4–1 W
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Accrington Stanley FC A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Wimbledon A 3–3 D
24 Apr Crewe Alexandra FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
17 Apr Accrington Stanley FC H 3–1 W
13 Apr Swindon Town FC H 2–1 W
10 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Plough Lane that hosts another battle between AFC Wimbledon and Rochdale AFC.
  • 5' It looks surprising Rochdale AFC does not make any changes. Will Nightingale has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Conor Grant made 379 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 13' AFC Wimbledon player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Oliver Rathbone needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ben Heneghan suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' AFC Wimbledon is showing some good football. However, AFC Wimbledon are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Rochdale AFC that had 140 games and scored 206 goals.
  • 41' Rochdale AFC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jake Beesley on 41.
  • 46' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jim McNulty, as he is very good at scoring at Plough Lane with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 51' The travelling Rochdale AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' It’s high time Brian Barry-Murphy made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 57' Goal! Gabriel Osho scores his 8 goal in 12 matches.
  • 61' GOAL! Jack Rudoni scores on 61. Assisted by Ayoub Assal
  • 66' What an equalizer from Ollie Palmer!
  • 68' Another change for AFC Wimbledon made on 68 minute. Ayoub Assal leaves to be changed by Ryan Longman.
  • 71' Rochdale AFC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 73' Jimmy Keohane puts Rochdale AFC on the lead.
  • 74' The AFC Wimbledon manager makes a substitution. Luke O'Neill departs to be replaced by Cheye Alexander.
  • 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 80' The Rochdale AFC manager makes a substitution. Conor Grant departs to be replaced by Matthew Lund.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Gabriel Osho. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' Shane McLoughlin is replacing Jack Rudoni for the AFC Wimbledon side.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Rochdale AFC player. Stephen Humphrys gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' What an equalizer from Joe Pigott!
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.9 AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Rochdale AFC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Wimbledon50% Draw24% Rochdale AFC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw
74%
Draw or Rochdale AFC
50%
AFC Wimbledon or Rochdale AFC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Wimbledon36% Draw42% Rochdale AFC22%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap AFC Wimbledon covers Push Rochdale AFC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
26%
Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.