Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon Town FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Sat 17 Apr 2021 · 16:30 UTC Plough Lane HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon Town FCLeague One at Plough Lane.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Graham
  • Referee John Busby
  • Referee Trevor Kettle
  • Referee Stuart Butler

Head-to-Head

2
AFC Wimbledon 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Swindon Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Swindon Town FC H 4–1 W
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Accrington Stanley FC A 5–1 W
05 Apr Fleetwood Town FC H 0–1 L
02 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
27 Mar Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr AFC Wimbledon A 1–4 L
13 Apr Rochdale AFC A 1–2 L
10 Apr Peterborough United FC H 0–3 L
05 Apr Burton Albion FC A 1–2 L
02 Apr Blackpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Wimbledon kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Swindon Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tyler Smith, as he is very good at scoring at Plough Lane with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' AFC Wimbledon is taking the lead after the goal scored by Joe Pigott on 20.
  • 20' Jonathan Grounds is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
  • 25' AFC Wimbledon started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 26' GOAL! Will Nightingale scores on 26. Assisted by Jack Rudoni
  • 26' Jordan Lyden is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
  • 31' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 37' Time for substitution for Swindon Town FC. Paul Caddis is replaced by Jordan Garrick.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swindon Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' Goal! Ayoub Assal scores his 14 goal in 236 matches.
  • 45' Brett Pitman is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Joel Grant is replacing Jordan Lyden for the Swindon Town FC side.
  • 51' Tyrese Omotoye has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 54' Joe Pigott with the second goal in the match!
  • 56' Hallam Hope is replacing Brett Pitman for the Swindon Town FC side.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swindon Town FC that had 57 games and scored 65 goals.
  • 65' Time for substitution for AFC Wimbledon. George Dobson is replaced by Jaakko Oksanen.
  • 66' Shane McLoughlin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack Rudoni on 66 minute.
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Paul Caddis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' Another substitution for AFC Wimbledon to replace Will Nightingale by Paul Kalambayi on 77 minute.
  • 79' Goal! Tyler Smith scores his 17 goal in 10 matches.
  • 84' The travelling Swindon Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' The referee shows AFC Wimbledon player a Yellow card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swindon Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Swindon Town FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Wimbledon to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon61% Draw23% Swindon Town FC16%
Actual: AFC Wimbledon win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw
84%
Draw or Swindon Town FC
39%
AFC Wimbledon or Swindon Town FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Wimbledon42% Draw44% Swindon Town FC14%
Actual: AFC Wimbledon win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap AFC Wimbledon covers Push Swindon Town FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
42%
Swindon Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.