Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth Argyle FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC New Plough Lane 8,736 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alistair Smith 51' 1–1
1–2 68' Lorent Tolaj
1–3 76' Aribim Pepple

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth Argyle FCLeague One at New Plough Lane.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Swallow
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Smith (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Howick

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–3 L
15 Apr Stockport County FC H 0–2 L
11 Apr Burton Albion FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–3 L
03 Apr Lincoln City FC A 0–1 L
28 Mar Stockport County FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr AFC Wimbledon A 3–1 W
11 Apr Exeter City FC H 2–2 D
06 Apr Barnsley FC A 3–0 W
03 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
21 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–1 W
17 Mar Stevenage FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

AFC Wimbledon Plymouth Argyle FC
#19 Position #8
53 Points 73
46 Played 46
15 / 8 / 23 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 17
51 Scored 75
72 Conceded 63
-21 GD +12
1.15 PPG 1.59
33% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts). Plymouth Argyle FC are 8th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at New Plough Lane. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Tom Cleverley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 6' Goal! Alexander Mitchell scores his 4 goal in 318 matches.
  • 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
  • 16' The travelling Plymouth Argyle FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Callum Maycock, as he is very good at scoring at New Plough Lane with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 24' The referee shows Plymouth Argyle FC player a card on 24.
  • 29' Layton Stewart has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 34' AFC Wimbledon is showing some good football. However, AFC Wimbledon are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Wimbledon needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' Mathias Ross was booked on 45.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Wimbledon that had 236 games and scored 247 goals.
  • 51' GOAL! Alistair Smith scores on 51. Assisted by James Tilley
  • 55' The referee calls foul for Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu. He receives a card.
  • 60' It looks surprising Plymouth Argyle FC does not make any changes. Steve Seddon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Plymouth Argyle FC team. Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu is replaced by Matthew Sorinola on 62 minute.
  • 65' Another change for AFC Wimbledon made on 65 minute. Layton Stewart leaves to be changed by Antwoine Hackford.
  • 68' Goal! Lorent Tolaj scores his 5 goal in 191 matches.
  • 69' The whistle greets Ronan Curtis as he departs to be replaced by Xavier Amaechi.
  • 71' It is a substitution in AFC Wimbledon team. Nathan Asiimwe is replaced by Aron Sasu on 71 minute.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Steve Seddon.
  • 76' Goal! Aribim Pepple scores his 3 goal in 382 matches.
  • 81' Another change for AFC Wimbledon made on 81 minute. Callum Maycock leaves to be changed by Osman Foyo.
  • 85' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Lorent Tolaj departs to be replaced by Julio Pleguezuelo.
  • 90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • Full Time. Plymouth Argyle FC beats AFC Wimbledon

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.94 AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon18% Draw23% Plymouth Argyle FC59%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw
41%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
82%
AFC Wimbledon or Plymouth Argyle FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon13% Draw41% Plymouth Argyle FC46%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 4
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap AFC Wimbledon covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 36% 64%
+1 36% 23% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
12%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.