Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Barnsley FC H 2–0 W
19 Aug Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Reading FC A 2–1 W
09 Aug Lincoln City FC H 2–0 W
01 Aug Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
30 Nov Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug AFC Wimbledon A 0–2 L
19 Aug Peterborough United FC A 1–0 W
16 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
02 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–1 W
03 May Reading FC A 4–2 W

Season Stats

AFC Wimbledon Barnsley FC
#19 Position #15
53 Points 59
46 Played 46
15 / 8 / 23 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 17
51 Scored 68
72 Conceded 73
-21 GD -5
1.15 PPG 1.28
33% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts). Barnsley FC are 15th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

Barnsley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Barnsley FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Wimbledon or Barnsley FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon38% Draw27% Barnsley FC35%
Actual: AFC Wimbledon win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw
65%
Draw or Barnsley FC
62%
AFC Wimbledon or Barnsley FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Wimbledon26% Draw46% Barnsley FC28%
Actual: AFC Wimbledon win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap AFC Wimbledon covers Push Barnsley FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
24%
Barnsley FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.