Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Swansea City AFC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Thu 25 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Lloyd Kelly 7' 1–0
Alex Scott 10' 2–0
Luis Sinisterra 14' 3–0
David Brooks 35' 4–0
Dominic Solanke 44' 5–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Swansea City AFCFA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–0 W
21 Jan Liverpool FC H 0–4 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–2 W
31 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
26 Dec Fulham FC H 3–0 W
23 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 0–5 L
20 Jan Southampton FC H 1–3 L
13 Jan Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
06 Jan Morecambe FC H 2–0 W
01 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + AFC Bournemouth to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth62% Draw21% Swansea City AFC17%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
83%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
38%
AFC Bournemouth or Swansea City AFC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth46% Draw40% Swansea City AFC14%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
36%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.