Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Swansea City AFC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Thu 25 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Lloyd Kelly 7' 1–0
Alex Scott 10' 2–0
Luis Sinisterra 14' 3–0
David Brooks 35' 4–0
Dominic Solanke 44' 5–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Swansea City AFC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–0 W
21 Jan Liverpool FC H 0–4 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–2 W
31 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
26 Dec Fulham FC H 3–0 W
23 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 0–5 L
20 Jan Southampton FC H 1–3 L
13 Jan Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
06 Jan Morecambe FC H 2–0 W
01 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth are looking to make home advantage count against Swansea City AFC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lewis Cook, as he is very good at scoring at Vitality Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 6' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nathan Wood-Gordon on 6 minutes.
  • 7' Against the run of play, Lloyd Kelly has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 10' Goal! Alex Scott scores his 11 goal in 395 matches.
  • 14' A stunning finish from Luis Sinisterra — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 19' Charlie Patino has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 24' AFC Bournemouth are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' The 32-year-old Jay Fulton has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' What composure from David Brooks! The Wales international strokes it home. 4-0.
  • 40' Swansea City AFC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 44' The England forward Dominic Solanke breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 5-0!
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Dominic Solanke argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Kieffer Moore. He replaces Dominic Solanke on 46 minute.
  • 51' England international Dominic Sadi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Bournemouth and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 57' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Charlie Patino is withdrawn and Yannick Bolasie gets his opportunity.
  • 62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Harrison Ashby on 63 minutes.
  • 66' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Joe Allen gets a card.
  • 69' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Joe Allen has done his job and it is now time for Oliver Cooper to step up.
  • 71' AFC Bournemouth manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marcus Tavernier is hanging David Brooks on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Jay Fulton is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Jamie Paterson. He replaces Liam Cullen on 76 minute.
  • 77' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Harrison Ashby exits the field as Filip Lissah enters on 77.
  • 79' Alex Scott picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Alex Scott as he leaves the pitch. Dominic Sadi steps in for AFC Bournemouth.
  • 88' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Bournemouth in their trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact .
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + AFC Bournemouth to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth62% Draw21% Swansea City AFC17%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
83%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
38%
AFC Bournemouth or Swansea City AFC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth46% Draw40% Swansea City AFC14%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.