Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Swansea City AFC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Thu 25 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Lloyd Kelly 7' 1–0
Alex Scott 10' 2–0
Luis Sinisterra 14' 3–0
David Brooks 35' 4–0
Dominic Solanke 44' 5–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Swansea City AFC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–0 W
21 Jan Liverpool FC H 0–4 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–2 W
31 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
26 Dec Fulham FC H 3–0 W
23 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 0–5 L
20 Jan Southampton FC H 1–3 L
13 Jan Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
06 Jan Morecambe FC H 2–0 W
01 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AFC Bournemouth to score. At the same time, Swansea City AFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 6' The referee calls foul for Nathan Wood-Gordon. He receives a card.
  • 7' Lloyd Kelly has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 10' Against the run of play, Alex Scott has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 14' What a strike from Luis Sinisterra! The score is 3-0.
  • 19' AFC Bournemouth are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's shape.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martyn Margetson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' AFC Bournemouth is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' Mark Travers has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' David Brooks adds to his 0 season tally! AFC Bournemouth lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' Dominic Solanke makes no mistake. The score reads 5-0 and AFC Bournemouth are in front.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Dominic Solanke on 45 minutes earns him a card. AFC Bournemouth will be frustrated.
  • 46' Another change for AFC Bournemouth made on 46 minute. Dominic Solanke leaves to be changed by Kieffer Moore.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Iraola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Charlie Patino has done his job and it is now time for Yannick Bolasie to step up.
  • 62' Ryan Christie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 63' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Harrison Ashby gets a card.
  • 66' Joe Allen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 69' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 69 minute. Joe Allen leaves to be changed by Oliver Cooper.
  • 71' David Brooks makes way for Marcus Tavernier at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Bournemouth.
  • 76' Jay Fulton picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Liam Cullen is replaced by Jamie Paterson.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Filip Lissah on, Harrison Ashby off on 77 minutes.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Scott on 79.
  • 83' The whistle greets Alex Scott as he departs to be replaced by Dominic Sadi.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + AFC Bournemouth to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth62% Draw21% Swansea City AFC17%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
83%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
38%
AFC Bournemouth or Swansea City AFC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth46% Draw40% Swansea City AFC14%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.