AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2019-20

AFC Bournemouth

3 – 1

Full Time

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Tue 21 Jan 2020 · 19:30 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 28' Bernardo

Jefferson Lerma 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.

AFC Bournemouth 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Brighton & Hove Albion FC 10 games · 22 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Darren England
Referee James Linington
Referee Kevin Friend
Referee Simon Beck
Referee Adrian Holmes

6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 7.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	10	27
2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	10	22
3	Manchester City FC	10	21
4	Liverpool FC	10	18
5	Chelsea FC	10	16
6	Everton FC	10	16
7	AFC Bournemouth	10	15
8	Brentford FC	10	14
9	Leeds United FC	10	14
10	Aston Villa FC	10	13
11	Tottenham Hotspur FC	10	12
12	Newcastle United FC	10	12
13	Hull City AFC	10	11
14	Ipswich Town FC	10	11
15	Fulham FC	10	10
16	Nottingham Forest FC	10	9
17	Coventry City FC	10	9
18	Manchester United FC	10	8
19	Sunderland AFC	10	8
20	Crystal Palace FC	10	7

Head-to-Head

AFC Bournemouth 13 games · Avg 2.9 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-01-21 AFC Bournemouth 3–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2019-12-28 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–0 AFC Bournemouth 2019-04-13 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0–5 AFC Bournemouth 2019-01-05 AFC Bournemouth 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2018-12-22 AFC Bournemouth 2–0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

AFC Bournemouth

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	3–1	W
18 Jan	Norwich City FC	A	0–1	L
12 Jan	Watford FC	H	0–3	L
01 Jan	West Ham United FC	A	0–4	L
28 Dec	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	0–2	L
26 Dec	Arsenal FC	H	1–1	D

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	AFC Bournemouth	A	1–3	L
18 Jan	Aston Villa FC	H	1–1	D
11 Jan	Everton FC	A	0–1	L
01 Jan	Chelsea FC	H	1–1	D
28 Dec	AFC Bournemouth	H	2–0	W
26 Dec	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth		Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#7	Position	#2
15	Points	22
10	Played	10
4 / 3 / 3	W / D / L	7 / 1 / 2
16	Scored	26
14	Conceded	7
+2	GD	+19
1.50	PPG	2.20
40%	Win %	70%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

70% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

AFC Bournemouth are 7th (15 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth

0-15

3/2

16-30

1/–

31-45

5/2

46-60

3/3

61-75

1/3

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

0-15

4/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

6/1

46-60

4/–

61-75

2/1

76+

5/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth

Evanilson	5 G	4 A
Marcus Tavernier	5 G
Alex Scott	1 G

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Pascal Gross	4 G	4 A
Charalampos Kostoulas	3 G	2 A
Yasin Ayari	3 G	1 A
Jack Hinshelwood	3 G
Maxim De Cuyper	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Bournemouth needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Bournemouth side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Brighton & Hove Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
25' England international Adam Smith has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
28' A moment of madness from Bernardo on 28 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Brighton & Hove Albion FC will be frustrated.
33' Brighton & Hove Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
36' The deadlock is broken! Harry Wilson gets on the scoresheet on 36 minutes.
41' What an equalizer from Pascal Gross!
46' AFC Bournemouth are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Brighton & Hove Albion FC backline.
51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
56' AFC Bournemouth is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
60' Time for substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC. Bernardo is replaced by Solomon March.
65' AFC Bournemouth have won 452 goals from 343 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Brighton & Hove Albion FC that had 342 games and scored 469 goals.
74' Callum Wilson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
81' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aaron Mooy makes no mistake. 2-2!
85' Dan Gosling gets the nod from AFC Bournemouth. He replaces Dominic Solanke and will look to change the dynamic.
89' A change in the AFC Bournemouth ranks — Harry Wilson exits the field as Lewis Cook enters on 89.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jefferson Lerma.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AFC Bournemouth to claim maximum points.

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Eddie Howe

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

15
Adam Webster
18
Aaron Mooy
1
Maty Ryan
16
Alireza Jahanbakhsh ↓ Aaron Connolly 60'
5
Lewis Dunk C
6
Dale Stephens
13
Pascal Gross ↓ Leandro Trossard 60'
24
Davy Propper
30
Bernardo ↓ Solomon March 60'
7
Neal Maupay
46
Steven Alzate

Bench

Coach Graham Potter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
David Brooks	4
Kaoru Mitoma	4
Justin Kluivert	2
Aaron Mooy	2
Joao Pedro	2
Callum Wilson	2
Florin Andone	1
Dominic Solanke	1

Head to Head

AFC Bournemouth Form

2020-01-21 AFC Bournemouth 3–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2020-01-18 Norwich City FC 1–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2020-01-12 AFC Bournemouth 0–3 Watford FC L 2020-01-01 West Ham United FC 4–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2019-12-28 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2019-12-26 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Arsenal FC D

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form

2020-01-21 AFC Bournemouth 3–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2020-01-18 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC D 2020-01-11 Everton FC 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2020-01-01 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Chelsea FC D 2019-12-28 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–0 AFC Bournemouth W 2019-12-26 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.5 AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG

I would bet for: AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 76% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Bournemouth36% Draw24% Brighton & Hove Albion FC40%

Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.39

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw

60%

Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC

64%

AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Bournemouth24% Draw41% Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%

Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

10.4%

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

0 – 1

5.7%

1 – 3

5.5%

0 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3.8%

0 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap	AFC Bournemouth covers	Push	Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	20%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.