Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AEK Larnaka vs FK Dynamo Kyiv, Europe 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2022-23
Thu 27 Oct 2022 · 16:45 UTC AEK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AEK Larnaka vs FK Dynamo Kyiv — Europe at AEK Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
4 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
AEK Larnaka 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals FK Dynamo Kyiv

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct FK Dynamo Kyiv H 3–3 D
13 Oct Fenerbahçe SK H 1–2 L
06 Oct Fenerbahçe SK A 0–2 L
15 Sep FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
08 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–2 L
25 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct AEK Larnaka A 3–3 D
13 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–1 L
06 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–2 L
15 Sep AEK Larnaka H 0–1 L
08 Sep Fenerbahçe SK A 1–2 L
23 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AEK Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AEK Larnaka and FK Dynamo Kyiv are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' The 33-year-old Nikos Englezou has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AEK Larnaka that had 30 games and scored 50 goals.
  • 20' AEK Larnaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Dynamo Kyiv backline.
  • 25' Denys Harmash has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 26' GOAL! Omri Altman fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 31' Kaheem Parris is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AEK Larnaka so far.
  • 35' Volodymyr Shepeliev picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Volodymyr Shepeliev made 164 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Vladyslav Vanat doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 50' FK Dynamo Kyiv fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 51' A moment of madness from Serhii Sydorchuk on 51 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FK Dynamo Kyiv will be frustrated.
  • 53' GOAL! Rafael Lopes fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Viktor Tsyhankov.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 65' Another change for FK Dynamo Kyiv made on 65 minute. Vladyslav Kabaiev leaves to be changed by Denys Harmash.
  • 66' The whistle greets Rafael Lopes as he departs to be replaced by Rafail Mamas.
  • 69' The referee calls foul for Illia Zabarnyi. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 72' Goal! Omri Altman scores his 3 goal in 0 matches.
  • 76' A tactical swap from FK Dynamo Kyiv — Kaheem Parris on, Vitalii Buyalskyi off on 76 minutes.
  • 79' AEK Larnaka player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 82' Denys Harmash adds to his 0 season tally! FK Dynamo Kyiv lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 83' Fresh legs for AEK Larnaka! Victor Olatunji comes on to replace Omri Altman.
  • 84' Samba Diallo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Volodymyr Shepeliev on 84 minute.
  • 85' FK Dynamo Kyiv player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 89' Mikel Gonzalez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Roberto Rosales on 89 minute.
  • 90' GOAL! Denys Harmash fires home to make it 3-3!
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 AEK Larnaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 FK Dynamo Kyiv xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AEK Larnaka48% Draw24% FK Dynamo Kyiv28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AEK Larnaka or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Dynamo Kyiv
52%
AEK Larnaka or FK Dynamo Kyiv
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AEK Larnaka34% Draw43% FK Dynamo Kyiv23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — AEK Larnaka

Handicap AEK Larnaka covers Push FK Dynamo Kyiv covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
FK Dynamo Kyiv keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.