Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 30 Aug 2024 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel-Moretti HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes ACLigue 2 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L
10 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–2 L
03 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
23 Aug Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 0–4 L
17 May FC Annecy H 1–1 D
10 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 2–1 W
03 May Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Michel-Moretti that hosts another battle between AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Ajaccio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Ajaccio in their trying to find a way past ES Troyes AC's compact .
  • 12' The deadlock is broken! Rafiki Said Ahamada gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
  • 17' AC Ajaccio currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' It’s a booking for AC Ajaccio player. Moussa Soumano gets a card.
  • 30' AC Ajaccio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 34' The referee shows AC Ajaccio player a card on 34.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Julien Anziani on 35 minutes.
  • 40' The 35-year-old Xavier Chavalerin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' Mathis Hamdi is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Fresh legs for AC Ajaccio! Michael Barreto comes on to replace Axel Bamba.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 52' Brilliant from the ! Christopher Ibayi makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 52.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' The whistle greets Moussa Soumano as he departs to be replaced by Yoann Touzghar.
  • 65' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Cyriaque Irie has done his job and it is now time for Mehdi Tahrat to step up.
  • 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Youssouf M'Changama, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Michel-Moretti with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' A tactical swap from ES Troyes AC — Pape Ibnou Ba on, Rafiki Said Ahamada off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' It looks surprising ES Troyes AC does not make any changes. Clement Vidal has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 84' That is a card for AC Ajaccio. Thomas Mangani will be fuming at that decision.
  • 86' AC Ajaccio make a change. Julien Anziani trudges off to be replaced by Mehdi Puch-Herrantz on 86 minutes.
  • 89' Yoann Touzghar does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Ajaccio surge ahead!
  • 90' Michael Barreto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' It is a substitution in ES Troyes AC team. Michel Diaz is replaced by Renaud Ripart on 90 minute.
  • With this win, AC Ajaccio is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio50% Draw27% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
76%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
50%
AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio33% Draw47% ES Troyes AC20%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
35%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.