Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 30 Aug 2024 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel-Moretti HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 2 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit
6 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L
10 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–2 L
03 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
23 Aug Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 0–4 L
17 May FC Annecy H 1–1 D
10 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 2–1 W
03 May Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio50% Draw27% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
76%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
50%
AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio33% Draw47% ES Troyes AC20%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.