Monday , 17 August 2026

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hamburger SV, DFB-Pokal 2021-22 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2021-22
3 5
2 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 26 Oct 2021 · 18:45 UTC Max-Morlock-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nurnberg vs Hamburger SVDFB-Pokal at Max-Morlock-Stadion.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Hamburger SV H 3–5 L
07 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–0 W
12 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
30 Oct 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–2 D
09 Aug FC Ingolstadt 04 A 1–0 W
18 May SC Freiburg A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct 1. FC Nürnberg A 5–3 W
08 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W
14 Sep SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–4 L
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 1–2 L
11 Aug Chemnitzer FC A 2–2 D
23 Apr RB Leipzig H 1–3 L

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and 1. FC Nürnberg launch into their encounter with Hamburger SV.
  • 5' 1. FC Nürnberg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 14' That is a Yellow card for 1. FC Nurnberg. Nikola Dovedan will be fuming at that decision.
  • 19' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 22' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Tim Leibold is replaced by Miro Muheim.
  • 27' Enrico Valentini needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Nürnberg and Hamburger SV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 39' Hamburger SV player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 45' Jonas David adds to his 0 season tally! Hamburger SV lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 50' Faride Alidou has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Miro Muheim on 51.
  • 51' Another substitution for 1. FC Nurnberg to replace Tom Krauss by Taylan Duman on 51 minute.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Nürnberg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Taylan Duman makes it 0-2.
  • 60' Manuel Wintzheimer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikkel Kaufmann at the 60 minute mark.
  • 65' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tim Handwerker suffering a number of foals already.
  • 75' 1. FC Nürnberg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's shape.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sebastian Schonlau.
  • 79' Faride Alidou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Robert Glatzel at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FC Nürnberg and Hamburger SV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 87' A tactical swap from 1. FC Nurnberg — Manuel Schaffler on, Erik Shuranov off on 87 minutes.
  • With this win, Hamburger SV is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 1. FC Nurnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Nurnberg or Hamburger SV 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nurnberg34% Draw25% Hamburger SV41%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

1. FC Nurnberg or Draw
59%
Draw or Hamburger SV
66%
1. FC Nurnberg or Hamburger SV
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Nurnberg26% Draw40% Hamburger SV34%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nurnberg

Handicap 1. FC Nurnberg covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 16% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 19% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
15%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.