Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Koln vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Wed 14 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
10 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–2 D
20 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
13 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
06 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
29 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan 1. FC Koln A 3–1 W
11 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 8–1 W
21 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
09 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 3–1 W
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 5–0 W

Season Stats

1. FC Koln FC Bayern München
#14 Position #1
32 Points 89
34 Played 34
7 / 11 / 16 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
49 Scored 122
63 Conceded 36
-14 GD +86
0.94 PPG 2.62
21% Win % 82%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FC Koln are 14th (32 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
3/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.35 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + FC Bayern München to win 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln11% Draw15% FC Bayern München74%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
26%
Draw or FC Bayern München
89%
1. FC Koln or FC Bayern München
85%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Koln7% Draw29% FC Bayern München64%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
9.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
7.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 4
6.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 5
5.2%
1 – 1
4.9%
1 – 5
4.4%
2 – 3
3.3%
0 – 6
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 4% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 17% 83%
+1 17% 17% 66%
+1.5 34% 66%
+2 34% 20% 46%
+2.5 54% 46%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
4%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.