Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Western United FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Fri 15 Dec 2023 · 07:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Western United FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jack Morgan
  • Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

Recent Form

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Western United FC launch into their encounter with Brisbane Roar FC.
  • 5' Brisbane Roar FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' The referee has no hesitation. Louis Zabala is booked for Brisbane Roar FC — card on 10.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Western United FC and Brisbane Roar FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Noah Botic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 25 goals in his last 150 appearances.
  • 31' Controversy at the stadium! Jay O'Shea argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Western United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jez Lofthouse.
  • 42' Western United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brisbane Roar FC's shape.
  • 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jay O'Shea is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Western United FC.
  • 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matthew Grimaldi made 150 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' Carlo Armiento gets the nod from Brisbane Roar FC. He replaces Jez Lofthouse and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' The travelling Brisbane Roar FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 69' Brisbane Roar FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jay O'Shea on 69.
  • 72' The Brisbane Roar FC bench stirs into life. Taras Gomulka is withdrawn and Alex Parsons gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Western United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rhys Bozinovski is hanging Sebastian Pasquali on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Western United FC that had 150 games and scored 248 goals.
  • 83' A goal from the Brazil international Daniel Penha! He fires home on 83 to make it 1-1!
  • 88' James Nikolovski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Louis Zabala on 88 minute.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Matthew Grimaldi.
  • 90' Matthew Grimaldi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lachlan Wales on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Western United FC and Brisbane Roar FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Western United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Western United FC or Brisbane Roar FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Western United FC39% Draw28% Brisbane Roar FC33%
Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
61%
Western United FC or Brisbane Roar FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Western United FC27% Draw47% Brisbane Roar FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap Western United FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.