Wales vs Netherlands, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Wales vs Netherlands — UEFA Womens Euro at swissporarena.
- Wales 3 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
- Netherlands 3 games · 3 pts (2025/25)
Match Details
- Referee Frida Klarlund (Denmark)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Finland | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Iceland | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | Spain | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Spain | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Italy | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Belgium | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Belgium | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Portugal | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Portugal | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sweden | 3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sweden | 3 | 9 |
| 16 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Poland | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Denmark | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 21 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 22 | England | 3 | 6 |
| 23 | England | 3 | 6 |
| 24 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 |
| 25 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 |
| 26 | Wales | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Season Stats
| Wales | Netherlands | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #25 |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 0 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 2 |
| 2 | Scored | 5 |
| 13 | Conceded | 9 |
| -11 | GD | -4 |
| 0.00 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Wales this season
Wales this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Netherlands this season
Netherlands this season
Wales are 26th (0 pts). Netherlands are 25th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Wales
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Netherlands
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Wales
| Jessica Fishlock | 1 G | 1 A |
Netherlands
| Victoria Pelova | 2 G | 1 A |
| Esmee Brugts | 1 G | |
| Vivianne Miedema | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Netherlands get us underway at swissporarena.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wales side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Wales and Netherlands are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 24' The referee shows Wales player a card on 24.
- 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 34' Gemma Evans needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Wales is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wales and Netherlands are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' The crowd applauds Esther Morgan as he leaves the pitch. Ella Powell steps in for Wales.
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Vivianne Miedema gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 53' Kerstin Casparij has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' The deadlock is broken! Esmee Brugts gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
- 62' Wales currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 64' The Wales bench stirs into life. Josie Green is withdrawn and Kayleigh Green gets his opportunity.
- 69' Lynn Wilms is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Wales so far.
- 71' The Netherlands manager makes a substitution. Vivianne Miedema departs to be replaced by Lineth Beerensteyn.
- 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 79' Wales ring the changes. Ceri Holland has done his job and it is now time for Carrie Jones to step up.
- 81' Caitlin Dijkstra is replacing Veerle Buurman for the Netherlands side.
- 86' Wales are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Netherlands backline.
- The points are shared — Wales 0-3 Netherlands. Honours even.
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 5
- 14
-
18
Esther Morgan ↓ Ella Powell 46'
-
6
Josie Green ↓ Kayleigh Green 64'
-
7
Ceri Holland ↓ Carrie Jones 79'
- 8
-
10
Jessica Fishlock ↓ Rachel Rowe 64'
-
11
Hannah Cain ↓ Ffion Morgan 64'
Bench
- 12
- 21
- 4
- 17
-
13
Rachel Rowe ↑ 64'
- 16
-
20
Carrie Jones ↑ 79'
- 22
-
9
Kayleigh Green ↑ 64'
- 15
-
19
Ella Powell ↑ 46'
-
23
Ffion Morgan ↑ 64'
Coach
Rhian Wilkinson
Netherlands Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 4
-
18
Kerstin Casparij ↓ Lynn Wilms 64'
- 19
- 20
- 6
- 10
- 14
- 17
- 9
-
11
Esmee Brugts ↓ Sherida Spitse 71'
Bench
- 16
- 23
-
2
Lynn Wilms ↑ 64'
-
3
Caitlin Dijkstra ↑ 81'
- 22
-
8
Sherida Spitse ↑ 71'
- 21
- 5
-
7
Lineth Beerensteyn ↑ 71'
-
12
Chasity Grant ↑ 64'
- 13
- 15
Coach
Andries Jonker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Victoria Pelova | 1 |
| Esmee Brugts | 1 |
| Vivianne Miedema | 1 |
Head to Head
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.68
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.23
Netherlands xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Netherlands to win 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Netherlands win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
29%
Draw or Netherlands
87%
Wales or Netherlands
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Netherlands win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
10.9%
0 – 4
8.9%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 4
6%
0 – 5
5.7%
1 – 1
5%
1 – 5
4%
0 – 6
3.2%
0 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Netherlands covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -0.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| +0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +1 | 16% | 17% | 68% |
| +1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +2 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| +2.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Netherlands keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

