Monday , 17 August 2026

Wales vs Netherlands, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE

0 3
Full Time
Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC swissporarena HT 45' · FT 45'
Lily Woodham 24' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Wales vs NetherlandsUEFA Womens Euro at swissporarena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frida Klarlund (Denmark)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Norway 3 9
2 Norway 3 9
3 Switzerland 3 4
4 Finland 3 4
5 Switzerland 3 4
6 Iceland 3 0
7 Spain 3 9
8 Spain 3 9
9 Italy 3 4
10 Belgium 3 3
11 Belgium 3 3
12 Portugal 3 1
13 Portugal 3 1
14 Sweden 3 9
15 Sweden 3 9
16 Germany 3 6
17 Germany 3 6
18 Poland 3 3
19 Denmark 3 0
20 France 3 9
21 France 3 9
22 England 3 6
23 England 3 6
24 Netherlands 3 3
25 Netherlands 3 3
26 Wales 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
Wales 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Netherlands

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Netherlands H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Wales A 3–0 W
11 Aug Spain A 1–2 L
06 Aug South Africa H 2–0 W
01 Aug Vietnam A 7–0 W
27 Jul USA A 1–1 D
23 Jul Portugal H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Wales Netherlands
#26 Position #25
0 Points 3
3 Played 3
0 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 2
2 Scored 5
13 Conceded 9
-11 GD -4
0.00 PPG 1.00
0% Win % 33%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Wales this season
33% Clean Sheets
Netherlands this season

Wales are 26th (0 pts). Netherlands are 25th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wales
0-15
1/2
16-30
/2
31-45
/3
46-60
/3
61-75
/2
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Netherlands
0-15
/
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
/4
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wales
Jessica Fishlock 1 G 1 A
Netherlands
Victoria Pelova 2 G 1 A
Esmee Brugts 1 G
Vivianne Miedema 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Netherlands get us underway at swissporarena.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wales side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Wales and Netherlands are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 24' The referee shows Wales player a card on 24.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' Gemma Evans needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Wales is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wales and Netherlands are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Esther Morgan as he leaves the pitch. Ella Powell steps in for Wales.
  • 48' The deadlock is broken! Vivianne Miedema gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 53' Kerstin Casparij has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' The deadlock is broken! Esmee Brugts gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Wales currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' The Wales bench stirs into life. Josie Green is withdrawn and Kayleigh Green gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Lynn Wilms is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Wales so far.
  • 71' The Netherlands manager makes a substitution. Vivianne Miedema departs to be replaced by Lineth Beerensteyn.
  • 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 79' Wales ring the changes. Ceri Holland has done his job and it is now time for Carrie Jones to step up.
  • 81' Caitlin Dijkstra is replacing Veerle Buurman for the Netherlands side.
  • 86' Wales are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Netherlands backline.
  • The points are shared — Wales 0-3 Netherlands. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.68 Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.23 Netherlands xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Netherlands to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wales13% Draw16% Netherlands71%
Actual: Netherlands win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Wales or Draw
29%
Draw or Netherlands
87%
Wales or Netherlands
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wales6% Draw29% Netherlands65%
Actual: Netherlands win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
10.9%
0 – 4
8.9%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 4
6%
0 – 5
5.7%
1 – 1
5%
1 – 5
4%
0 – 6
3.2%
0 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Wales

Handicap Wales covers Push Netherlands covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 3% 96%
-0.5 4% 96%
+0.5 16% 84%
+1 16% 17% 68%
+1.5 32% 68%
+2 32% 21% 47%
+2.5 53% 47%

Clean Sheet

Wales keeps clean sheet
5%
Netherlands keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.