VfR Wormatia 08 Worms vs Valenciennes FC, 2016

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Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

2 – 1

Full Time

Valenciennes FC

Tue 29 Nov 2016 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 1 .

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 0 games · 0 pts
Valenciennes FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2.38

Draw 3.25

Valenciennes FC 3.10

Head-to-Head

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals Valenciennes FC

Last 5 meetings

2016-11-29 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2–1 Valenciennes FC 2016-01-09 Valenciennes FC 2–2 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2015-10-24 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 1–1 Valenciennes FC 2015-04-04 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 0–3 Valenciennes FC 2014-11-07 Valenciennes FC 1–0 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

Recent Form

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Valenciennes FC	H	2–1	W
26 Nov	AJ Auxerre	A	3–3	D
18 Nov	Nimes Olympique	H	0–3	L
05 Nov	Grenoble Foot 38	A	1–2	L
29 Oct	SM Caen	H	2–2	D
22 Oct	US Orleans Loiret	A	0–1	L

Valenciennes FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	VfR Wormatia 08 Worms	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Amiens SC	H	1–0	W
19 Nov	Chamois Niortais FC	H	1–1	D
06 Nov	FC Girondins de Bordeaux	A	0–4	L
30 Oct	AJ Auxerre	H	1–0	W
22 Oct	Red Star FC	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as VfR Wormatia 08 Worms face off against Valenciennes FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
With this win, VfR Wormatia 08 Worms is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms Form

2016-11-29 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2–1 Valenciennes FC W 2016-11-26 AJ Auxerre 3–3 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms D 2016-11-18 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 0–3 Nimes Olympique L 2016-11-05 Grenoble Foot 38 2–1 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms L 2016-10-29 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2–2 SM Caen D 2016-10-22 US Orleans Loiret 1–0 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms L

Valenciennes FC Form

2016-11-29 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2–1 Valenciennes FC L 2016-11-25 Valenciennes FC 1–0 Amiens SC W 2016-11-19 Valenciennes FC 1–1 Chamois Niortais FC D 2016-11-06 FC Girondins de Bordeaux 4–0 Valenciennes FC L 2016-10-30 Valenciennes FC 1–0 AJ Auxerre W 2016-10-22 Red Star FC 1–2 Valenciennes FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.45 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.3 Valenciennes FC xG

I would bet for: VfR Wormatia 08 Worms or Valenciennes FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms41% Draw28% Valenciennes FC31%

Actual: VfR Wormatia 08 Worms win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms or Draw

69%

Draw or Valenciennes FC

59%

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms or Valenciennes FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms29% Draw47% Valenciennes FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.4%

1 – 0

8.3%

1 – 2

7.5%

0 – 1

7.4%

2 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

4.1%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

Handicap	VfR Wormatia 08 Worms covers	Push	Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	20%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	18%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.