Valenciennes FC vs Amiens SC, 2017

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Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017

Valenciennes FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Amiens SC

Fri 25 Nov 2016 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs Amiens SC — Ligue 1 .

Valenciennes FC 0 games · 0 pts
Amiens SC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 2.40

Draw 3.10

Amiens SC 3.10

Head-to-Head

Valenciennes FC 18 games · Avg 2.7 goals Amiens SC

Last 5 meetings

2016-11-25 Valenciennes FC 1–0 Amiens SC 2016-02-27 Amiens SC 1–2 Valenciennes FC 2015-08-29 Valenciennes FC 3–1 Amiens SC 2015-02-14 Amiens SC 2–1 Valenciennes FC 2014-09-23 Valenciennes FC 0–3 Amiens SC

Recent Form

Valenciennes FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Amiens SC	H	1–0	W
19 Nov	Chamois Niortais FC	H	1–1	D
06 Nov	FC Girondins de Bordeaux	A	0–4	L
30 Oct	AJ Auxerre	H	1–0	W
22 Oct	Red Star FC	A	2–1	W
16 Oct	Grenoble Foot 38	H	1–1	D

Amiens SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Valenciennes FC	A	0–1	L
19 Nov	AJ Auxerre	H	1–2	L
05 Nov	Red Star FC	A	1–1	D
29 Oct	ES Troyes AC	H	1–2	L
22 Oct	Chamois Niortais FC	A	0–0	D
14 Oct	Nimes Olympique	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Valenciennes FC and Amiens SC get this one started.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Amiens SC.

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

Amiens SC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chadrac Akolo	3
Arnaud Lusamba	3
Allan Linguet	2
Mickael Alphonse	2
Joffrey Cuffaut	1
Abdoul Kader Bamba	1
Gael Kakuta	1
Mathis Picouleau	1

Head to Head

Valenciennes FC Form

2016-11-25 Valenciennes FC 1–0 Amiens SC W 2016-11-19 Valenciennes FC 1–1 Chamois Niortais FC D 2016-11-06 FC Girondins de Bordeaux 4–0 Valenciennes FC L 2016-10-30 Valenciennes FC 1–0 AJ Auxerre W 2016-10-22 Red Star FC 1–2 Valenciennes FC W 2016-10-16 Valenciennes FC 1–1 Grenoble Foot 38 D

Amiens SC Form

2016-11-25 Valenciennes FC 1–0 Amiens SC L 2016-11-19 Amiens SC 1–2 AJ Auxerre L 2016-11-05 Red Star FC 1–1 Amiens SC D 2016-10-29 Amiens SC 1–2 ES Troyes AC L 2016-10-22 Chamois Niortais FC 0–0 Amiens SC D 2016-10-14 Amiens SC 3–1 Nimes Olympique W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.21 Valenciennes FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Amiens SC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Valenciennes FC46% Draw29% Amiens SC25%

Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.14

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Amiens SC

54%

Valenciennes FC or Amiens SC

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Valenciennes FC28% Draw53% Amiens SC19%

Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

14.1%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.7%

2 – 0

8.3%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.7%

3 – 0

3.3%

3 – 1

3.2%

1 – 3

1.9%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap	Valenciennes FC covers	Push	Amiens SC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	23%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Amiens SC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.