VfB Stuttgart vs MSV Duisburg, 2015

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1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015

VfB Stuttgart

4 – 2

Full Time

MSV Duisburg

Wed 23 Sep 2015 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts
MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfB Stuttgart 2.15

Draw 3.40

MSV Duisburg 3.40

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 8 games · Avg 3.3 goals MSV Duisburg

Last 5 meetings

2015-09-23 VfB Stuttgart 4–2 MSV Duisburg 2015-05-23 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 MSV Duisburg 2014-12-20 MSV Duisburg 2–1 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Sep	MSV Duisburg	H	4–2	W
19 Sep	Karlsruher SC	A	0–1	L
11 Sep	TuS Dassendorf	H	0–3	L
30 Aug	Wroxham FC	A	1–2	L
23 Aug	SV Linx 1949	H	1–2	L
15 Aug	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–4	L

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	A	2–4	L
20 Sep	1. FC Nurnberg	H	2–0	W
12 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–2	L
29 Aug	1. FC Koln	H	0–1	L
22 Aug	FC Hansa Rostock	A	1–1	D
15 Aug	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' VfB Stuttgart have kicked off against MSV Duisburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
The points are shared — VfB Stuttgart 4-2 MSV Duisburg. Honours even.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.79 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.6 MSV Duisburg xG

I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or MSV Duisburg 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart43% Draw25% MSV Duisburg32%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.39

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

68%

Draw or MSV Duisburg

57%

VfB Stuttgart or MSV Duisburg

75%

Half-Time Result

VfB Stuttgart32% Draw42% MSV Duisburg26%

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.6%

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.4%

1 – 0

5.4%

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.7%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 2

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	19%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	17%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.