Valenciennes FC vs Paris FC, 2016

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Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016

Valenciennes FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Paris FC

Sat 15 Apr 2017 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .

Valenciennes FC 0 games · 0 pts
Paris FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 2.30

Draw 3.10

Paris FC 3.25

Head-to-Head

Valenciennes FC 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals Paris FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-15 Valenciennes FC 2–0 Paris FC 2016-12-21 Paris FC 1–1 Valenciennes FC 2016-02-07 Paris FC 1–1 Valenciennes FC 2015-09-18 Valenciennes FC 1–1 Paris FC 2015-03-15 Paris FC 3–0 Valenciennes FC

Recent Form

Valenciennes FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Paris FC	H	2–0	W
08 Apr	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	0–3	L
02 Apr	ES Troyes AC	H	1–1	D
18 Mar	Amiens SC	A	0–0	D
11 Mar	US Orleans Loiret	H	1–1	D
04 Mar	AJ Auxerre	A	1–1	D

Paris FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Valenciennes FC	A	0–2	L
07 Apr	GFC Ajaccio	H	1–2	L
01 Apr	Senegal	A	1–0	W
17 Mar	FC Sochaux-Montbeliard	H	0–0	D
11 Mar	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	2–1	W
05 Mar	Amiens SC	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Valenciennes FC welcome Paris FC for this crunch clash at .
Full Time. Valenciennes FC beats Paris FC

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Morgan Guilavogui	3
Migouel Alfarela	2
Adrian Grbic	2
Khalid Boutaib	1
Teddy Chevalier	1
Gaetan Laura	1
Yoan Kore	1
Joffrey Cuffaut	1

Head to Head

Valenciennes FC Form

2017-04-15 Valenciennes FC 2–0 Paris FC W 2017-04-08 SV Wehen Wiesbaden 3–0 Valenciennes FC L 2017-04-02 Valenciennes FC 1–1 ES Troyes AC D 2017-03-18 Amiens SC 0–0 Valenciennes FC D 2017-03-11 Valenciennes FC 1–1 US Orleans Loiret D 2017-03-04 AJ Auxerre 1–1 Valenciennes FC D

Paris FC Form

2017-04-15 Valenciennes FC 2–0 Paris FC L 2017-04-07 Paris FC 1–2 GFC Ajaccio L 2017-04-01 Senegal 0–1 Paris FC W 2017-03-17 Paris FC 0–0 FC Sochaux-Montbeliard D 2017-03-11 SV Wehen Wiesbaden 1–2 Paris FC W 2017-03-05 Amiens SC 1–1 Paris FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.25 Valenciennes FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Paris FC xG

I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Valenciennes FC44% Draw29% Paris FC27%

Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.24

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Paris FC

56%

Valenciennes FC or Paris FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Valenciennes FC28% Draw52% Paris FC20%

Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

12.9%

1 – 0

12.1%

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

1 – 2

6.3%

0 – 2

2 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.4%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap	Valenciennes FC covers	Push	Paris FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Paris FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.