Valenciennes FC vs AC Ajaccio, 2017

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Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017

Valenciennes FC

0 – 1

Full Time

AC Ajaccio

Sun 4 Feb 2018 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs AC Ajaccio — Ligue 1 .

Valenciennes FC 0 games · 0 pts
AC Ajaccio 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 2.00

Draw 3.29

AC Ajaccio 4.00

Head-to-Head

Valenciennes FC 17 games · Avg 1.9 goals AC Ajaccio

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-04 Valenciennes FC 0–1 AC Ajaccio 2017-10-14 AC Ajaccio 2–0 Valenciennes FC 2017-01-21 AC Ajaccio 1–1 Valenciennes FC 2016-09-30 Valenciennes FC 1–0 AC Ajaccio 2016-04-17 Valenciennes FC 0–3 AC Ajaccio

Recent Form

Valenciennes FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	AC Ajaccio	H	0–1	L
26 Jan	US Orleans Loiret	A	1–2	L
20 Jan	Chamois Niortais FC	H	1–0	W
17 Jan	Paris FC	A	2–1	W
13 Jan	FC Sochaux-Montbeliard	H	0–3	L
20 Dec	Nimes Olympique	A	1–2	L

AC Ajaccio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	Valenciennes FC	A	1–0	W
27 Jan	Red Star FC	H	0–3	L
20 Jan	RC Strasbourg Alsace	A	1–3	L
17 Jan	ES Troyes AC	H	0–2	L
12 Jan	Clermont Foot 63	A	2–0	W
20 Dec	La Berrichonne de Chateauroux	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

24% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Valenciennes FC welcome AC Ajaccio for this crunch clash at .
It finishes all square. Valenciennes FC and AC Ajaccio share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

AC Ajaccio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Riad Nouri	2
Julien Masson	2
Florian Raspentino	2
Hugo Cuypers	2
Riad Nouri	2
Bevic Moussiti	1
Gaetan Courtet	1
Jeremy Choplin	1

Head to Head

Valenciennes FC Form

2018-02-04 Valenciennes FC 0–1 AC Ajaccio L 2018-01-26 US Orleans Loiret 2–1 Valenciennes FC L 2018-01-20 Valenciennes FC 1–0 Chamois Niortais FC W 2018-01-17 Paris FC 1–2 Valenciennes FC W 2018-01-13 Valenciennes FC 0–3 FC Sochaux-Montbeliard L 2017-12-20 Nimes Olympique 2–1 Valenciennes FC L

AC Ajaccio Form

2018-02-04 Valenciennes FC 0–1 AC Ajaccio W 2018-01-27 AC Ajaccio 0–3 Red Star FC L 2018-01-20 RC Strasbourg Alsace 3–1 AC Ajaccio L 2018-01-17 AC Ajaccio 0–2 ES Troyes AC L 2018-01-12 Clermont Foot 63 0–2 AC Ajaccio W 2017-12-20 AC Ajaccio 2–1 La Berrichonne de Chateauroux W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.94 Valenciennes FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 AC Ajaccio xG

I would bet for: AC Ajaccio or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Valenciennes FC29% Draw32% AC Ajaccio39%

Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw

61%

Draw or AC Ajaccio

71%

Valenciennes FC or AC Ajaccio

68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Valenciennes FC20% Draw53% AC Ajaccio27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.3%

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.9%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 1

2 – 0

2 – 2

3.7%

0 – 3

3.2%

1 – 3

3.1%

3 – 1

1.9%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap	Valenciennes FC covers	Push	AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	22%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.