Uruguay vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Uruguay vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio de Union Santiago.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de Union Santiago!
- 5' Angel Romero is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Uruguay tonight.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Estadio de Union Santiago. Uruguay seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Jose Maria Gimenez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Edinson Cavani makes it 1-0.
- 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 33' Fresh legs for Paraguay! Oscar Romero comes on to replace Miguel Almiron.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' It’s a booking for Paraguay player. Omar Alderete gets a card.
- 46' Another change for Uruguay made on 46 minute. Diego Godin leaves to be changed by Sebastian Coates.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Giorgian De Arrascaeta suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 57' Another substitution for Paraguay to replace Gabriel Avalos by Carlos Gonzalez on 57 minute.
- 62' Mathias Villasanti has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 67' Facundo Torres Perez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Giorgian De Arrascaeta on 67 minute.
- 68' Uruguay ring the changes. Edinson Cavani has done his job and it is now time for Luis Suarez to step up.
- 73' Paraguay make a change. Braian Samudio trudges off to be replaced by Andres Cubas on 73 minutes.
- 74' Richard Sanchez is replacing Gaston Gimenez for the Paraguay side.
- 76' Lucas Torreira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Valverde on 76 minute.
- 81' Uruguay are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Junior Alonso is booked for Paraguay — card on 82.
- 87' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- It finishes all square. Uruguay and Paraguay share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Uruguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Edinson Cavani ↓ Luis Suarez 68'
-
3
Diego Godin ↓ Sebastian Coates 46'
- 2
- 15
- 6
-
5
Matias Vecino ↓ Martin Caceres 57'
- 1
- 8
- 17
- 7
Bench
- 23
-
14
Lucas Torreira ↑ 76'
-
9
Luis Suarez ↑ 68'
-
22
Martin Caceres ↑ 57'
-
19
Sebastian Coates ↑ 46'
- 12
- 20
- 24
- 13
-
25
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 67'
- 26
- 11
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 6
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Oscar Romero 33'
- 3
- 9
- 5
- 2
- 1
-
18
Braian Samudio ↓ Andres Cubas 73'
- 23
- 13
Bench
- 15
-
14
Andres Cubas ↑ 73'
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 33'
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↑ 57'
-
8
Richard Sanchez ↑ 74'
- 17
- 22
- 28
-
24
Hector Martinez ↑ 57'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
Uruguay xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Uruguay win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Uruguay or Draw
79%
Draw or Paraguay
53%
Uruguay or Paraguay
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Uruguay win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Uruguay
| Handicap | Uruguay covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Uruguay keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.