Uruguay vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Uruguay vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio de Union Santiago.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Uruguay host Paraguay — let the battle begin!
- 5' Paraguay come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Diego Godin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Uruguay so far.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Uruguay and Paraguay are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Paraguay are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 21' Brilliant from the forward! Edinson Cavani makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 21.
- 26' Paraguay is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Uruguay needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' Oscar Romero is ready to make an impact after coming on for Miguel Almiron at the 33 minute mark.
- 38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Antony Silva is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paraguay.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Omar Alderete on 43 minutes.
- 46' Another substitution for Uruguay to replace Diego Godin by Sebastian Coates on 46 minute.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Braian Samudio, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Union Santiago with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' Uruguay seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 57' Carlos Gonzalez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Avalos on 57 minute.
- 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 67' Facundo Torres Perez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giorgian De Arrascaeta at the 67 minute mark.
- 68' Fresh legs for Uruguay! Luis Suarez comes on to replace Edinson Cavani.
- 73' Braian Samudio makes way for Andres Cubas at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paraguay.
- 74' Richard Sanchez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gaston Gimenez on 74 minute.
- 76' Uruguay make a change. Federico Valverde trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Torreira on 76 minutes.
- 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Junior Alonso.
- 87' The travelling Paraguay supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- Another three points for Uruguay.
Lineups
Uruguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Edinson Cavani ↓ Luis Suarez 68'
-
3
Diego Godin ↓ Sebastian Coates 46'
- 2
- 15
- 6
-
5
Matias Vecino ↓ Martin Caceres 57'
- 1
- 8
- 17
- 7
Bench
- 23
-
14
Lucas Torreira ↑ 76'
-
9
Luis Suarez ↑ 68'
-
22
Martin Caceres ↑ 57'
-
19
Sebastian Coates ↑ 46'
- 12
- 20
- 24
- 13
-
25
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 67'
- 26
- 11
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 6
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Oscar Romero 33'
- 3
- 9
- 5
- 2
- 1
-
18
Braian Samudio ↓ Andres Cubas 73'
- 23
- 13
Bench
- 15
-
14
Andres Cubas ↑ 73'
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 33'
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↑ 57'
-
8
Richard Sanchez ↑ 74'
- 17
- 22
- 28
-
24
Hector Martinez ↑ 57'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
Uruguay xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Uruguay win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Uruguay or Draw
79%
Draw or Paraguay
53%
Uruguay or Paraguay
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Uruguay win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Uruguay
| Handicap | Uruguay covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Uruguay keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.