Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Monza vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
AC Monza
0 – 1
Full Time
Padova Calcio
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Monza vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Alberto Arena (Italy)
7 games this season 🟨 1.4/game ⚽ 10.6 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Monza 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Padova Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-27 AC Monza 0–1 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

AC Monza
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Padova Calcio H 0–1 L
20 Sep UC Sampdoria H 1–0 W
12 Sep Calcio Avellino SSD A 1–2 L
31 Aug SSC Bari A 1–1 D
23 Aug Mantova 1911 SSD H 1–0 W
24 May AC Milan A 0–2 L
Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep AC Monza A 1–0 W
21 Sep ACD Virtus Entella H 2–1 W
13 Sep Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L
31 Aug Carrarese Calcio A 0–0 D
23 Aug Empoli FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

AC Monza Padova Calcio
#3 Position #10
76 Points 46
38 Played 38
22 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 16
61 Scored 39
32 Conceded 49
+29 GD -10
2.00 PPG 1.21
58% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
AC Monza this season
24% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

AC Monza are 3rd (76 pts). Padova Calcio are 10th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Monza
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Monza Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Monza or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Monza42% Draw33% Padova Calcio25%
Actual: Padova Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

AC Monza or Draw
75%
Draw or Padova Calcio
58%
AC Monza or Padova Calcio
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Monza29% Draw56% Padova Calcio15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.2%
1 – 0
16.7%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 2
1.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Monza

Handicap AC Monza covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 25% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 15% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Monza keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.