Turkey vs Croatia, 2016

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League One 2016/17 · 2016

Turkey

0 – 1

Full Time

Croatia

Sat 4 Mar 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Turkey vs Croatia — Premier League .

Turkey 0 games · 0 pts
Croatia 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Turkey 1.83

Draw 3.75

Croatia 4.75

Head-to-Head

Turkey 7 games · Avg 2.6 goals Croatia

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-04 Turkey 0–1 Croatia 2016-08-13 Croatia 3–1 Turkey 2016-06-12 Turkey 0–1 Croatia 2016-04-23 Turkey 1–0 Croatia 2015-11-27 Croatia 0–4 Turkey

Recent Form

Turkey

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Croatia	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	3–1	W
25 Feb	Northern Ireland	A	3–1	W
18 Feb	AS Roma	H	0–0	D
14 Feb	Albania	A	1–2	L
11 Feb	FC Schalke 04	A	0–1	L

Croatia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Turkey	A	1–0	W
25 Feb	FC Viktoria Plzen	H	0–4	L
21 Feb	Rosenborg BK	A	0–0	D
18 Feb	FC Schalke 04	H	1–2	L
14 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D
11 Feb	Albania	A	1–3	L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Turkey have kicked off against Croatia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Full Time. Croatia beats Turkey

Lineups

Turkey Lineups

Croatia Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luka Modric	1
Luka Modric	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.17 Turkey xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Croatia xG

I would bet for: Turkey or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Turkey38% Draw32% Croatia30%

Actual: Croatia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Turkey or Draw

70%

Draw or Croatia

62%

Turkey or Croatia

68%

Half-Time Result

Turkey27% Draw53% Croatia20%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.3%

0 – 0

14.2%

1 – 0

12.6%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 1

3 – 0

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Turkey

Handicap	Turkey covers	Push	Croatia covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	22%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Turkey keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Croatia keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.