TuS Erndtebruck vs Hamburger SV, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

TuS Erndtebruck

4 – 1

Full Time

Hamburger SV

Sun 27 Aug 2017 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TuS Erndtebruck vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

TuS Erndtebruck 0 games · 0 pts
Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

TuS Erndtebruck 1.36

Draw 5.00

Hamburger SV 8.50

Head-to-Head

TuS Erndtebruck 7 games · Avg 4.3 goals Hamburger SV

Last 5 meetings

2017-08-27 TuS Erndtebruck 4–1 Hamburger SV 2017-04-15 TuS Erndtebruck 4–0 Hamburger SV 2016-11-25 Hamburger SV 1–4 TuS Erndtebruck 2016-03-07 Hamburger SV 2–1 TuS Erndtebruck 2015-09-24 TuS Erndtebruck 1–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

TuS Erndtebruck

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Aug	Hamburger SV	H	4–1	W
19 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–2	L
13 Aug	NAC Breda	A	5–0	W
20 May	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–2	D
13 May	VfL Wolfsburg	H	4–5	L
06 May	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	4–1	W

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Aug	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–4	L
20 Aug	FC Hansa Rostock	H	0–0	D
12 Aug	Willem II Tilburg	A	2–1	W
20 May	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–4	L
13 May	1. FC Koln	H	1–1	D
07 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

86% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against TuS Erndtebruck and Hamburger SV has kicked off!
Another three points for TuS Erndtebruck.

Lineups

TuS Erndtebruck Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Pierre-Michel Lasogga	2
Pierre-Michel Lasogga	2
Jann-Fiete Arp	1
Tatsuya Yamazaki	1
Orel Mangala	1
Till Hilchenbach	1
Niklas Hunold	1
Tatsuya Yamazaki	1

Head to Head

TuS Erndtebruck Form

2017-08-27 TuS Erndtebruck 4–1 Hamburger SV W 2017-08-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TuS Erndtebruck L 2017-08-13 NAC Breda 0–5 TuS Erndtebruck W 2017-05-20 FC Hansa Rostock 2–2 TuS Erndtebruck D 2017-05-13 TuS Erndtebruck 4–5 VfL Wolfsburg L 2017-05-06 SV Sandhausen 1916 1–4 TuS Erndtebruck W

Hamburger SV Form

2017-08-27 TuS Erndtebruck 4–1 Hamburger SV L 2017-08-20 Hamburger SV 0–0 FC Hansa Rostock D 2017-08-12 Willem II Tilburg 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2017-05-20 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Hamburger SV L 2017-05-13 Hamburger SV 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.34 TuS Erndtebruck xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Hamburger SV xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TuS Erndtebruck59% Draw21% Hamburger SV20%

Actual: TuS Erndtebruck win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.66

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

TuS Erndtebruck or Draw

80%

Draw or Hamburger SV

41%

TuS Erndtebruck or Hamburger SV

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

TuS Erndtebruck44% Draw38% Hamburger SV18%

Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.6%

3 – 0

5.4%

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 2

4.6%

4 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

3.8%

4 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — TuS Erndtebruck

Handicap	TuS Erndtebruck covers	Push	Hamburger SV covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	17%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	21%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

TuS Erndtebruck keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.