Toulouse FC vs FC Nantes, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs FC Nantes — Ligue 1 .
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- FC Nantes 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Benoit Bastien
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | FC Nantes | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Lille OSC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 3–6 | L |
| 24 Aug | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | OGC Nice | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Toulouse FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | OGC Nice | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | AJ Auxerre | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . Toulouse FC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Nantes.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
FC Nantes Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emiliano Sala | 3 |
| Mostafa Mohamed | 3 |
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | 2 |
| Evann Guessand | 1 |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 1 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 1 |
| Gabriel Boschilia | 1 |
| Tinotenda Kadewere | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
FC Nantes xG
I would bet for:
Toulouse FC or FC Nantes 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Nantes
59%
Toulouse FC or FC Nantes
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Nantes win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | FC Nantes covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

