Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs New York City FC, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK ROUND OF 16

MLS · 2026
Mon 27 Jul 2020 · 00:30 UTC HT 45+5' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York City FCMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Armando Villarreal
  • Referee Alex Chilowicz
  • Referee Felisha Mariscal
  • Referee Timothy Ford
  • Referee Chris Elliott
13 games this season 🟨 2.2/game 6.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul New York City FC H 1–3 L
21 Jul New England Revolution H 0–0 D
17 Jul Montreal Impact FC A 4–3 W
13 Jul D.C. United SC H 2–2 D
07 Mar New York City FC H 1–0 W
29 Feb San Jose Earthquakes A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Toronto FC A 3–1 W
20 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 1–0 W
15 Jul Orlando City SC H 1–3 L
09 Jul Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
07 Mar Toronto FC A 0–1 L
01 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC New York City FC
#11 Position #8
14 Points 19
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 4 / 6
22 Scored 25
29 Conceded 21
-7 GD +4
1.00 PPG 1.27
21% Win % 33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
2/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 New York City FC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York City FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC36% Draw26% New York City FC38%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
62%
Draw or New York City FC
64%
Toronto FC or New York City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC25% Draw44% New York City FC31%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push New York City FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.